Result
0:1
10/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 81% | 19% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (572/646) | 49% (79/160) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (572/646) | 49% (79/160) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 22% (12/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (177/224) | 49% (30/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Celiz M. ⚽, Martinez T. (A),
- 34', Ponte M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 34', Rojas J. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 45+4', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bastos ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 46', Martinez T. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
- 47', Perlaza J. 🟨,
- 51', Villalba H. 🟨,
- 58', Vallecilla G. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 59', Villalba H. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
- 60', Castillo B. 🟨,
- 71', Barrera J. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 84', Matheus Martins ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 84', Montoro A. ↓, Caio Valle ↑,
- 90+2', Contreras J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Carabali B. ↓, Chala Rosales W. J. ↑,
- 90+5', Celiz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
60.3% | Draw
25.5% | Barcelona Guayaquil
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3%)
Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.49) |
3.65 ↓
(3.72) |
6.56 ↓
(8.12) |
6.5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Barcelona (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barcelona (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Botafogo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Botafogo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Botafogo RJ?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
03.03.2026
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Draw
QualificationQuarter-finals| 1 | Juventud | U. Catolica | 5 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Guarani | |
| 3 | Liverpool M. | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ind. Medellin | |
| 5 | The Strongest | Dep. Tachira | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Deportes Tolima | |
| 7 | O'Higgins | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bahia | |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Sporting Cristal | |
| 11 | Carabobo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Huachipato | |
| 13 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Argentinos Jrs | |
| 15 | Nacional Potosi | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Botafogo RJ | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventud | Guarani | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | Ind. Medellin | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | Deportes Tolima | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | Bahia | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | Sporting Cristal | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 6 | Carabobo | Huachipato | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | Argentinos Jrs | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | Botafogo RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Juventud | Ind. Medellin | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | Carabobo | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | Botafogo RJ | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
