Result
1:1
03/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 84% (425/505) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 84% (425/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (48/82) | 70% (83/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Villalba H. ⚽,
- 44', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 58', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 58', Villalba H. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 64', Martinez T. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Matheus Martins ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
- 71', Ponte M. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 76', Farias Acosta C. A. 🟥,
- 77', Matheus Martins ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 79', Celiz M. ↓, Montano C. ↑,
- 79', Rojas J. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
- 86', Barrera J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
36% | Draw
30.5% | Botafogo RJ
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.96) |
3.05 ↓
(3.1) |
2.82 ↑
(2.46) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Barcelona (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Botafogo (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barcelona Guayaquil will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 3 - 60%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Botafogo RJ?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Botafogo RJ has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Draw
2026Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventud | U. Catolica | 5 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Guarani | |
| 3 | Liverpool M. | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ind. Medellin | |
| 5 | The Strongest | Dep. Tachira | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Deportes Tolima | |
| 7 | O'Higgins | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bahia | |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Sporting Cristal | |
| 11 | Carabobo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Huachipato | |
| 13 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Argentinos Jrs | |
| 15 | Nacional Potosi | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Botafogo RJ | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventud | Guarani | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | Ind. Medellin | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | Deportes Tolima | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | Bahia | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | Sporting Cristal | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 6 | Carabobo | Huachipato | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | Argentinos Jrs | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | Botafogo RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Juventud | Ind. Medellin | |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | Carabobo | |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | Botafogo RJ | 1 : 1 |
