Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 4
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (336/426) | 78% (249/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (336/426) | 78% (249/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/74) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (55/97) | 72% (79/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 34% (13/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Mina J. 🟨,
- 66', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
- 66', Gomez J. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 66', Benedetto D. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 66', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 71', Diaz D. 🟨,
- 73', Diaz D. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
- 76', Villalba H. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 76', Mina J. ↓, Vallecilla G. ↑,
- 83', Sambonino K. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+5', Rangel A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Mero E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Mero E. 🟨,
- 90+9', Arias R. 🟨,
- 90+10', Humanante J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guayaquil City
23.1% | Draw
29.4% | Barcelona Guayaquil
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.08) |
3.12 ↓
(3.52) |
1.95 ↑
(1.73) |
8.4%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Barcelona Guayaquil will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1.
- Guayaquil City has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Barcelona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barcelona is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Guayaquil City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Guayaquil City?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
04.02.2026
Guayaquil City
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:2
26.11.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Guayaquil City
2:1
11.06.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:2
08.02.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
02.10.2022
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Guayaquil City
1:1
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Tecnico U | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Aucas | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Orense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Emelec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
