Arosa vs Barco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Rivera J. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Gabri Palmas ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Arosa
69.1%
Draw
19.6%
Barco
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 25.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arosa's performance.
  • Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arosa - Barco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.6)
    5.15
    (3.55)
    8.96
    (5.2)
    -1.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Arosa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Barco were as follows:
    15.01.2023 Arosa - Barco 2:1
    11.09.2022 Barco - Arosa 0:1
    Latest results of Arosa
    07.12.2025 Compostela - Arosa 1:0
    23.11.2025 Arosa - Estradense 2:0
    16.11.2025 Somozas - Arosa 0:0
    09.11.2025 Arosa - Montañeros 1:1
    02.11.2025 Viveiro - Arosa 1:2
    Latest results of Barco
    07.12.2025 Barco - Atlético Arteixo 0:3
    23.11.2025 Noia - Barco 1:1
    16.11.2025 Barco - RC Villalbes 0:0
    09.11.2025 Barbadás - Barco 1:2
    02.11.2025 Barco - Alondras 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation