Result
1:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 49% (147/298) | 51% (146/287) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 49% (147/298) | 51% (146/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (25/93) | 20% (18/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (52/113) | 44% (57/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Brophy J. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Collinge D. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
- 61', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 61', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 75', Ball D. ↓, McConnell G. ↑,
- 77', Chinedu P. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 87', Glover R. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 87', Tshimanga K. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnet
32.6% | Draw
29.6% | Cambridge United
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Barnet - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.73) |
3.15 ↓
(3.23) |
2.47 ↓
(2.49) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barnet - Cambridge United?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cambridge will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.
- In recent matches, Barnet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Cambridge United?
Barnet has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Barnet?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Cambridge United were as follows:
15.11.2025
Cambridge United
-
Barnet
0:0
21.10.2025
Barnet
-
Cambridge United
3:2
29.07.2023
Barnet
-
Cambridge United
2:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
