Colchester United vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.881.55
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
167
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Long passes
27% (21/79)32% (27/84)
Passes in final third
65% (95/146)52% (64/124)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.71
Throw ins
2328
Fouls
716
Tackles
53% (8/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
6858
Clearances
3919
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.552.88
Goals prevented
0.55-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', Tovide S. 🟨,
  • 30', Smith K. , Kizzi J. ,
  • 31', Kizzi J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Read A. , Hunt R. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ofoborh N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Vincent-Young K. , Back F. ,
  • 46', Tovide S. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 46', Winterburn B. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 61', Tavares N. , Chinedu P. ,
  • 64', Goodwin W. 🟨,
  • 68', Akachukwu R. , Williams J. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', 3 - 1, Payne J. , Bishop T. (A),
  • 78', Hawkins O. 🟨,
  • 78', Bishop T. , Barbrook F. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Howland J. ,
  • 82', Kanu I. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 87', Lisbie K. , Gordon J. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Payne J. , Williams J. (A),
  • 90+6', Chinedu P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
33.9%
Draw
29.1%
Barnet
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.3% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 28.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Colchester United - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.23)
    2.53
    (2.61)
    7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Colchester (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Colchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Mbick M. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Inactive) Iandolo E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Barnet were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Barnet
    17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2
    14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3
    03.02.2026 Barnet - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    31.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barnet 0:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League