Colchester United vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.881.55
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
167
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Long passes
27% (21/79)32% (27/84)
Passes in final third
65% (95/146)52% (64/124)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.71
Throw ins
2328
Fouls
716
Tackles
53% (8/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
6858
Clearances
3919
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.552.88
Goals prevented
0.55-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', Tovide S. 🟨,
  • 30', Smith K. , Kizzi J. ,
  • 31', Kizzi J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Read A. , Hunt R. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ofoborh N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Vincent-Young K. , Back F. ,
  • 46', Tovide S. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 46', Winterburn B. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 61', Tavares N. , Chinedu P. ,
  • 64', Goodwin W. 🟨,
  • 68', Akachukwu R. , Williams J. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', 3 - 1, Payne J. , Bishop T. (A),
  • 78', Hawkins O. 🟨,
  • 78', Bishop T. , Barbrook F. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Howland J. ,
  • 82', Kanu I. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 87', Lisbie K. , Gordon J. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Payne J. , Williams J. (A),
  • 90+6', Chinedu P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
33.9%
Draw
29.1%
Barnet
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.3% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 28.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Colchester United - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.23)
    2.53
    (2.61)
    7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Colchester (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Colchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Mbick M. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Inactive) Iandolo E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Barnet were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Barnet
    17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2
    14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3
    03.02.2026 Barnet - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    31.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barnet 0:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League