Barnet vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Hive Stadium (London).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.98	0.74
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
2	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	1
Passes
66% (268/407)	68% (233/342)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.98	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.47
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
26	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
66% (268/407)	68% (233/342)
Long passes
28% (25/88)	40% (36/89)
Passes in final third
54% (90/167)	59% (57/96)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.30
Throw ins
28	26
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
59% (10/17)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
81	47
Clearances
27	43
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.47	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.53	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Senior A. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽,
55', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽, Holman F. (A),
64', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
68', Hoilett J. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
68', Borland A. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
69', Kanu I. ↓, Howland J. ↑,
69', Hartigan A. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
81', Kizzi J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
81', Shelton M. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
84', Winterburn B. 🟨,
87', Holman F. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
87', Wright W. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
90+6', Snowdon J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnet
53.6%

Draw
24.8%

Swindon Town
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Barnet - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)	4.33 ↑ (3.6)	6.7% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnet - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barnet is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Knight-Lebel J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Swindon Town?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Barnet?

Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Swindon Town were as follows:

19.08.2025 Swindon Town - Barnet 0:2

Latest results of Barnet

14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3 ✺

03.02.2026 Barnet - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barnet 0:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Barnet - Tranmere Rovers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

14.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town 3:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Swindon Town - Newport County 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic 3:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Swindon Town - Barrow 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One