Colchester United vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.371.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.881.55
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
167
Passes
72% (291/406)65% (214/331)
Long passes
27% (21/79)32% (27/84)
Passes in final third
65% (95/146)52% (64/124)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.71
Throw ins
2328
Fouls
716
Tackles
53% (8/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
6858
Clearances
3919
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.552.88
Goals prevented
0.55-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', Tovide S. 🟨,
  • 30', Smith K. , Kizzi J. ,
  • 31', Kizzi J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Read A. , Hunt R. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ofoborh N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Vincent-Young K. , Back F. ,
  • 46', Tovide S. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 46', Winterburn B. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 61', Tavares N. , Chinedu P. ,
  • 64', Goodwin W. 🟨,
  • 68', Akachukwu R. , Williams J. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', 3 - 1, Payne J. , Bishop T. (A),
  • 78', Hawkins O. 🟨,
  • 78', Bishop T. , Barbrook F. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Howland J. ,
  • 82', Kanu I. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 87', Lisbie K. , Gordon J. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Payne J. , Williams J. (A),
  • 90+6', Chinedu P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
33.9%
Draw
29.1%
Barnet
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 28.3% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 28.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Colchester United - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.23)
    2.53
    (2.61)
    7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Colchester (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Colchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Mbick M. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Inactive) Iandolo E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Barnet were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Barnet
    17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2
    14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3
    03.02.2026 Barnet - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    31.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barnet 0:0
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One