Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (169/275) | 62% (164/263) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (169/275) | 62% (164/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (95/151) | 49% (45/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 63 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', O'Connell E. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
- 11', Connell L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Krubally S. ↓, Webster C. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Webster C. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 63', Banks S. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
- 64', Kelly P. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 74', de Gevigney M. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
- 74', Watson T. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 76', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 80', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 81', Cannon A. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 86', Farrell L. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Roberts M. (A),
- 90+5', Roberts M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
44% | Draw
27.7% | Barnsley
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Burton Albion - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.17) |
3.4 ↓
(3.59) |
3.27 ↑
(3.02) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
- Burton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T.
(Ankle Injury)
Earl J.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Burton: Shade T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Barnsley?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Burton Albion?
Barnsley has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Barnsley were as follows:
09.08.2025
Barnsley
-
Burton Albion
3:2
01.02.2025
Barnsley
-
Burton Albion
0:0
21.09.2024
Burton Albion
-
Barnsley
1:2
01.04.2024
Burton Albion
-
Barnsley
1:3
16.09.2023
Barnsley
-
Burton Albion
2:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
