Barnsley vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
Ball possession
27%73%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.23
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
79
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Long passes
39% (26/66)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
40% (24/60)75% (151/202)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.10
Throw ins
1329
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (9/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
3511
Interceptions
206
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.230.75
Goals prevented
0.23-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Colwill R. , Tanner O. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Banks S. ,
  • 43', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Scanlon C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 56', Willock C. , Ashford C. ,
  • 65', Bradshaw T. , Cleary R. ,
  • 65', Banks S. , Phillips A. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 69', Kellyman O. , Robinson C. ,
  • 80', Lawlor D. , Fish W. ,
  • 89', Bland J. , Watson T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
26.5%
Draw
24.2%
Cardiff City
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 24.5% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 24.6% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.65)
    3.87
    (3.85)
    1.92
    (2.37)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 0.
    • Barnsley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cardiff's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Ng P. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson A. (Hamstring Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Cardiff City were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0
    Latest results of Barnsley
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 453010587:4146100
    2Cardiff ✔ 452710886:454191
    3Bolton ✔ 451918868:491975
    4Stockport County4521111368:571174
    5Bradford City4521111356:50674
    6Stevenage4520121348:46272
    7Luton4520111465:541171
    8Plymouth452171772:611170
    9Huddersfield4517131570:64664
    10Reading4516151464:59563
    11Mansfield4515171357:461162
    12Wycombe4516121766:561060
    13Barnsley4515141667:70-359
    14Blackpool451692053:65-1257
    15Doncaster451692047:68-2157
    16Wigan4514141749:57-856
    17Peterborough451582263:65-253
    18Burton4513141848:58-1053
    19AFC Wimbledon451582251:68-1753
    20Leyton Orient451492257:69-1251
    21Exeter4512132051:59-849
    22Port Vale ✔ 4510122336:59-2342
    23Rotherham ✔ 4510112439:68-2941
    24Northampton ✔ 45982837:71-3435

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two