Barnsley vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
Ball possession
27%73%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.23
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
79
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Long passes
39% (26/66)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
40% (24/60)75% (151/202)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.10
Throw ins
1329
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (9/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
3511
Interceptions
206
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.230.75
Goals prevented
0.23-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Colwill R. , Tanner O. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Banks S. ,
  • 43', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Scanlon C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 56', Willock C. , Ashford C. ,
  • 65', Bradshaw T. , Cleary R. ,
  • 65', Banks S. , Phillips A. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 69', Kellyman O. , Robinson C. ,
  • 80', Lawlor D. , Fish W. ,
  • 89', Bland J. , Watson T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
26.5%
Draw
24.2%
Cardiff City
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 24.5% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 24.6% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.65)
    3.87
    (3.85)
    1.92
    (2.37)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 0.
    • Barnsley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cardiff's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Ng P. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson A. (Hamstring Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Cardiff City were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0
    Latest results of Barnsley
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln38249571:343781
    2Cardiff38237873:413276
    3Bolton381715655:381766
    4Bradford City381981148:42665
    5Stockport County361781150:47359
    6Reading3815131057:50758
    7Huddersfield381691358:481057
    8Stevenage371691240:38257
    9Wycombe3815111255:411456
    10Plymouth381751657:53456
    11Luton381591451:48354
    12Barnsley3613111259:59050
    13Peterborough371541856:51549
    14AFC Wimbledon371471648:54-649
    15Mansfield3611131243:40346
    16Leyton Orient371361853:62-945
    17Doncaster371281740:59-1944
    18Burton3811101742:53-1143
    19Exeter381191842:50-842
    20Wigan3710121539:51-1242
    21Blackpool381181946:63-1741
    22Rotherham37991935:55-2036
    23Northampton38982132:52-2035
    24Port Vale356101928:49-2128

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two