Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (144/227) | 85% (517/610) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (144/227) | 85% (517/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 75% (151/202) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Banks S. ⚽,
- 43', Lawlor D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Scanlon C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
- 56', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 65', Bradshaw T. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
- 65', Banks S. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 69', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 69', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 80', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 89', Bland J. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley 26.5% | Draw 24.2% | Cardiff City 49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barnsley - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.5 ↑ (2.65) |
3.87 ↑ (3.85) |
1.92 ↓ (2.37) |
6.5% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to international match.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 0.
- Barnsley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cardiff's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jalo F.
(Knee Injury)
Roberts M.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Ng P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Cardiff City?
Barnsley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Barnsley?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Cardiff City were as follows:
27.01.2026
Cardiff City
-
Barnsley
4:0
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two