Cardiff City vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).

League One - Round 29
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.37	0.28
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
86% (521/604)	76% (252/332)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.37	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.84	0.50
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
11	4
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
23	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
10	7
Passes
86% (521/604)	76% (252/332)
Long passes
51% (31/61)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
82% (169/206)	71% (48/68)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.43
Throw ins
25	13
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
58% (7/12)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
30	40
Clearances
7	21
Interceptions
4	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.50	1.84
Goals prevented
0.50	-2.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ng P. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
5', Robertson A. 🟨,
17', O'Connell E. 🟨,
31', Cleary R. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 0, Willock C. ⚽, Kellyman O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
61', Bland J. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Kellyman O. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Willock C. ⚽,
71', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
71', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
71', Colwill J. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
73', Watson T. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
73', Phillips A. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
79', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
87', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cardiff City
57.2%

Draw
23.4%

Barnsley
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Cardiff City - Barnsley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)	4 ↓ (4.08)	4.79 ↑ (4.61)	6.9% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Barnsley?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 19 - 95%). Barnsley will win (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 85.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cardiff (1.27) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Cardiff (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Barnsley (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 16 - 80%). Barnsley (votes: 4 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
Cardiff is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Turnbull D. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Barnsley?

Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Cardiff City?

Barnsley has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Barnsley were as follows:

11.10.2025 Barnsley - Cardiff City Postponed

Latest results of Cardiff City

24.01.2026 Cardiff City - Stockport County 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Bradford City - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic 1:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Barnsley

24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Barnsley - Blackpool 2:1 ✺

12.01.2026 Liverpool - Barnsley 4:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Port Vale - Barnsley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Wigan Athletic - Barnsley 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two