Barnsley vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
Ball possession
27%73%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.23
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
79
Passes
63% (144/227)85% (517/610)
Long passes
39% (26/66)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
40% (24/60)75% (151/202)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.10
Throw ins
1329
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (9/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
3511
Interceptions
206
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.230.75
Goals prevented
0.23-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Colwill R. , Tanner O. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Banks S. ,
  • 43', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Scanlon C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 56', Willock C. , Ashford C. ,
  • 65', Bradshaw T. , Cleary R. ,
  • 65', Banks S. , Phillips A. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 69', Kellyman O. , Robinson C. ,
  • 80', Lawlor D. , Fish W. ,
  • 89', Bland J. , Watson T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
26.5%
Draw
24.2%
Cardiff City
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 24.5% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 24.6% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.65)
    3.87
    (3.85)
    1.92
    (2.37)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 0.
    • Barnsley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cardiff's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Ng P. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson A. (Hamstring Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Cardiff City were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0
    Latest results of Barnsley
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 41279577:354290
    2Cardiff40239874:423278
    3Bradford City412181252:45771
    4Bolton411816759:421770
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4018101242:38464
    7Plymouth411951764:56862
    8Reading4216141262:54862
    9Huddersfield4117101462:53961
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4216111560:481259
    12Mansfield3913141249:41853
    13Peterborough401561959:55451
    14Barnsley3913121460:64-451
    15Leyton Orient411481956:64-850
    16AFC Wimbledon411481949:62-1350
    17Doncaster411481942:64-2250
    18Wigan4112131644:55-1149
    19Burton4212121845:56-1148
    20Blackpool421392048:64-1648
    21Exeter4212102045:53-846
    22Rotherham409102135:59-2437
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship