Result
0:2
07/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (591/676) | 66% (129/194) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (591/676) | 66% (129/194) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (241/293) | 54% (51/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', House B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 1, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
- 60', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 67', Kellyman O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 67', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 67', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 2, Jefferies D. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
- 76', Osho G. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
- 76', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 81', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 81', House B. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 90', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 90+5', Wickens G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
45.8% | Draw
27.9% | Lincoln City
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lincoln City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cardiff City - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.3) |
3.35 ↓
(3.36) |
3.52 ↑
(2.93) |
6.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Lincoln City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Cardiff is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Draper F.
(Inactive)
Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Lincoln City?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Cardiff City?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Lincoln City were as follows:
20.12.2025
Lincoln City
-
Cardiff City
2:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
