Carlisle United vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Carlisle United - Barnsley
Result
2:3
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
16.1%
Draw
22.3%
Barnsley
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 25.8% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 25.2% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlisle United - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.78
    (4.03)
    4.25
    (3.65)
    1.53
    (1.86)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%97.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Barnsley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Barnsley were as follows:
    16.01.2024 Barnsley - Carlisle United 2:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Barnsley
    09.03.2024 Barnsley - Lincoln City 1:5
    24.02.2024 Barnsley - Derby County 2:1
    17.02.2024 Fleetwood Town - Barnsley 1:2
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two