Carlisle United vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Carlisle United - Barnsley
Result
2:3
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
16.1%
Draw
22.3%
Barnsley
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 25.8% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 25.2% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlisle United - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.78
    (4.03)
    4.25
    (3.65)
    1.53
    (1.86)
    6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%97.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Barnsley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Barnsley were as follows:
    16.01.2024 Barnsley - Carlisle United 2:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Barnsley
    09.03.2024 Barnsley - Lincoln City 1:5
    24.02.2024 Barnsley - Derby County 2:1
    17.02.2024 Fleetwood Town - Barnsley 1:2
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two