Result
2:3
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
16.1% | Draw
22.3% | Barnsley
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.78 ↑
(4.03) |
4.25 ↑
(3.65) |
1.53 ↓
(1.86) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Barnsley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Barnsley?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Carlisle United?
Barnsley has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Barnsley were as follows:
16.01.2024
Barnsley
-
Carlisle United
2:1
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
