Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (293/393) | 78% (312/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (293/393) | 78% (312/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/74) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (76/126) | 65% (81/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Yoganathan V. ⚽, McGoldrick D. (A),
- 24', Rydel R. 🟨,
- 29', Shepherd J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rydel R. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
- 51', Shepherd J. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
- 63', Mendes C. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 70', McMillan J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 72', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 72', Bradshaw T. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Magennis J. (A),
- 83', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 89', Phillips A. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley 45% | Draw 25.5% | Exeter City 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Barnsley - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↑ (1.93) |
3.67 ↑ (3.6) |
3.19 ↓ (3.65) |
6.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Exeter has had a series of home games.
- Barnsley might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T.
(Inactive)
Earl J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cole R.
(Inactive)
McDonald K.
(Inactive)
Mendes C.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: Kelly P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J.
(Inactive)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Exeter City?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Barnsley?
Exeter City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Exeter City were as follows:
20.12.2025
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
3:0
01.04.2025
Barnsley
-
Exeter City
1:2
14.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
1:2
27.01.2024
Barnsley
-
Exeter City
1:2
07.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
0:1
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two