Result
1:2
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/446) | 68% (174/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/446) | 68% (174/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/70) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (90/146) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 64 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Trevitt R. ⚽,
- 33', Nwakali K. 🟨,
- 42', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
- 45', Watts C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jones P. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 46', Bland J. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
- 46', Nwakali K. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Humphrys S. ⚽, Keillor-Dunn D. (A),
- 59', Watts C. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 70', Niskanen I. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 75', Jalo F. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Magennis J. ⚽,
- 90+1', de Gevigney M. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
- 90+8', Trevitt R. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
49.6% | Draw
25.8% | Exeter City
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barnsley - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.57) |
3.69 ↓
(4.25) |
3.84 ↓
(4.9) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 17).
- Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J.
(Injury)
Cotter B.
(Ankle Injury)
Farrugia N.
(Inactive)
Gauci J.
(Inactive)
Gent G.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: Dyer J.
(Inactive)
Earl J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Exeter City?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Barnsley?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Exeter City were as follows:
14.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
1:2
27.01.2024
Barnsley
-
Exeter City
1:2
07.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
0:1
28.03.2023
Exeter City
-
Barnsley
3:1
08.10.2022
Barnsley
-
Exeter City
0:2
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
