Barnsley vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 40
Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.03
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
81% (363/446)	68% (174/255)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	1.11
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
2	8
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Through passes
0% (0/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
81% (363/446)	68% (174/255)
Long passes
46% (32/70)	40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
62% (90/146)	56% (45/80)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.57
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
65% (11/17)	74% (17/23)
Duels won
54	64
Clearances Total
22	50
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.11	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.89	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Trevitt R. ⚽,
33', Nwakali K. 🟨,
42', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
45', Watts C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jones P. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
46', Bland J. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
46', Nwakali K. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Humphrys S. ⚽, Keillor-Dunn D. (A),
59', Watts C. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
70', Niskanen I. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
75', Jalo F. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Magennis J. ⚽,
90+1', de Gevigney M. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
90+8', Trevitt R. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Barnsley
49.6%

Draw
25.8%

Exeter City
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barnsley - Exeter City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.57)	3.69 ↓ (4.25)	3.84 ↓ (4.9)	5.9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Exeter City?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.7% – 80.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 17).
Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J. (Injury) Cotter B. (Ankle Injury) Farrugia N. (Inactive) Gauci J. (Inactive) Gent G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Barnsley: Dyer J. (Inactive) Earl J. (Knock)
There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Exeter City?

Barnsley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Barnsley?

Exeter City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Exeter City were as follows:

14.12.2024 Exeter City - Barnsley 1:2

27.01.2024 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2

07.10.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 0:1

28.03.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 3:1

08.10.2022 Barnsley - Exeter City 0:2

Latest results of Barnsley

29.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barnsley 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Barnsley - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Barnsley - Blackpool 0:3 ✺

04.03.2025 Charlton Athletic - Barnsley 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Exeter City

29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Rotherham United - Exeter City 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Exeter City - Mansfield Town 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

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