Barnsley vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Barnsley - Exeter City
Result
1:2
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
81% (363/446)68% (174/255)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.11
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2121
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
81% (363/446)68% (174/255)
Long passes
46% (32/70)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
62% (90/146)56% (45/80)
Crosses
16% (3/19)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.57
Fouls
1312
Tackles
65% (11/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5464
Clearances Total
2250
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.111.31
Goals prevented
-0.890.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Trevitt R. ,
  • 33', Nwakali K. 🟨,
  • 42', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
  • 45', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jones P. , Yogane T. ,
  • 46', Bland J. , Watters M. ,
  • 46', Nwakali K. , Connell L. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Humphrys S. , Keillor-Dunn D. (A),
  • 59', Watts C. , Cox S. ,
  • 70', Niskanen I. , Harper V. ,
  • 75', Jalo F. , Lewis J. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Magennis J. ,
  • 90+1', de Gevigney M. , Rodrigues C. ,
  • 90+8', Trevitt R. , Purrington B. ,

Chances of winning


Barnsley
49.6%
Draw
25.8%
Exeter City
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.9% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 21.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.57)
    3.69
    (4.25)
    3.84
    (4.9)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.7%80.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 17).
    • Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J. (Injury) Cotter B. (Ankle Injury) Farrugia N. (Inactive) Gauci J. (Inactive) Gent G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnsley: Dyer J. (Inactive) Earl J. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Exeter City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Exeter City - Barnsley 1:2
    27.01.2024 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2
    07.10.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 0:1
    28.03.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 3:1
    08.10.2022 Barnsley - Exeter City 0:2
    Latest results of Barnsley
    29.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barnsley 1:1
    15.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:1
    08.03.2025 Barnsley - Blackpool 0:3
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two