Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 45
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/318) | 69% (246/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/318) | 69% (246/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/74) | 28% (24/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (86/146) | 50% (75/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 69 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Niskanen I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 49', Chauke K. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Moon J. ⚽, Godwin-Malife U. (A),
- 71', McDonald K. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 71', Cannon A. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 75', Tuterov T. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 79', James E. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
- 79', Andrew D. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 88', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Webster C. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
51.9% | Draw
25.3% | Exeter City
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Burton Albion - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.78) |
3.7 ↑
(3.66) |
4.1 ↓
(4.25) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Burton could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Whitworth J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Exeter City?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Burton Albion?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Exeter City were as follows:
03.03.2026
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
1:1
18.04.2025
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
0:0
21.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:2
16.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
1:0
02.09.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
