Forest Green Rovers vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
15/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 42
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
15.7%
Draw
24.2%
Barnsley
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 26.7% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 26.2% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.02
    (3.8)
    3.93
    (3.45)
    1.57
    (1.89)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (99.2%), project points - 30, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (64.78%), project points - 89, currently - 78, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (87%), a chance of promoted (40%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
    • This event has small quality 13, small importance 20, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Barnsley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Barnsley is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Barnsley - Forest Green Rovers 2:0
    Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
    Latest results of Barnsley
    10.04.2023 Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town 2:1
    07.04.2023 Burton Albion - Barnsley 2:1
    01.04.2023 Barnsley - Morecambe 5:0
    28.03.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 3:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two