Result
1:5
15/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 42
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Forest Green Rovers 15.7% | Draw 24.2% | Barnsley 60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.02 ↑ (3.8) |
3.93 ↑ (3.45) |
1.57 ↓ (1.89) |
5.9% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (99.2%), project points - 30, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (64.78%), project points - 89, currently - 78, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (87%), a chance of promoted (40%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 20, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Barnsley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Barnsley is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Forest Green Rovers won against Barnsley?
Forest Green Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Forest Green Rovers?
Barnsley has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Barnsley were as follows:
29.10.2022
Barnsley
-
Forest Green Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two