Barracas Central vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
13/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium, TV Publica
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
03
Corner Kicks
14
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
810
Offsides
34
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
1622
Passes
83% (227/273)90% (636/710)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Bruera F. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Pena Biafore F. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 20', Pena Biafore F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 28', Munoz E. , Luciatti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Perez G. , Aquino D. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Salvio E. , Aquino D. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, Insua R. , Duarte M. (A),
  • 59', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 3, Bou W. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 65', Duarte M. , Cantero A. ,
  • 65', Miloc D. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Cantero A. ,
  • 70', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 74', Insua R. 🟨,
  • 76', Mater F. 🟨,
  • 81', Tapia I. , Herrera R. ,
  • 83', Bou W. , Torres J. ,
  • 90+4', Aquino D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
14.3%
Draw
26.1%
Lanús
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 29.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 29.5% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.57
    (3.56)
    3.62
    (3.17)
    1.6
    (2.16)
    5.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: Lanús will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.06%94.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Recent matches Barracas Central is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lanús is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Kruger F. (Injury) Lopez L. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Hamstring Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Lanús were as follows:
    30.07.2023 Lanús - Barracas Central 2:0
    09.09.2022 Barracas Central - Lanús 2:0
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Lanús
    30.11.2024 Banfield - Lanús 0:1
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    11.11.2024 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4Union de Santa Fe73229:4511
    5San Lorenzo73227:5211
    6Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    7Independiente72419:7210
    8Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia751111:7416
    2Belgrano74309:4515
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5River Plate73137:7010
    6Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    7Huracan72325:6-19
    8Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    9Racing Club72238:9-18
    10Barracas Central72235:6-18
    11Banfield72147:9-27
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi60332:6-43

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)