Barracas Central vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
13/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium, TV Publica
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
03
Corner Kicks
14
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
810
Offsides
34
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
1622
Passes
83% (227/273)90% (636/710)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Bruera F. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Pena Biafore F. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 20', Pena Biafore F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 28', Munoz E. , Luciatti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Perez G. , Aquino D. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Salvio E. , Aquino D. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, Insua R. , Duarte M. (A),
  • 59', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 3, Bou W. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 65', Duarte M. , Cantero A. ,
  • 65', Miloc D. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Cantero A. ,
  • 70', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 74', Insua R. 🟨,
  • 76', Mater F. 🟨,
  • 81', Tapia I. , Herrera R. ,
  • 83', Bou W. , Torres J. ,
  • 90+4', Aquino D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
14.3%
Draw
26.1%
Lanús
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 29.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 29.5% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.57
    (3.56)
    3.62
    (3.17)
    1.6
    (2.16)
    5.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: Lanús will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.06%94.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Recent matches Barracas Central is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lanús is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Kruger F. (Injury) Lopez L. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Hamstring Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Lanús were as follows:
    30.07.2023 Lanús - Barracas Central 2:0
    09.09.2022 Barracas Central - Lanús 2:0
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Lanús
    30.11.2024 Banfield - Lanús 0:1
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    11.11.2024 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)