Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/419) | 85% (454/534) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/419) | 85% (454/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/124) | 65% (86/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 1 - 0, Amor E. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Bou W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Aquino D. ↓, Salvio E. ↑,
- 65', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 67', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
- 68', Botta R. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
- 68', Hausch A. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
- 70', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 70', Sepulveda M. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 79', Banega E. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
- 79', Sanchez F. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
- 80', Romero L. ↓, Marcich S. ↑,
- 90', Pereyra E. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
- 90+1', Carrera R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
44.4% | Draw
30.5% | Lanús
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensa y Justicia - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(3.22) |
3.09
(3.09) |
3.8 ↑
(2.36) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 83.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Defensa y Justicia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Lanús?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Defensa y Justicia?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Lanús were as follows:
24.11.2024
Lanús
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
03.03.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Lanús
0:4
07.10.2023
Lanús
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:2
09.07.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Lanús
2:2
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
