Barracas Central vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
13/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium, TV Publica
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
03
Corner Kicks
14
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
810
Offsides
34
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
1622
Passes
83% (227/273)90% (636/710)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Bruera F. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Pena Biafore F. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 20', Pena Biafore F. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 28', Munoz E. , Luciatti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Perez G. , Aquino D. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Salvio E. , Aquino D. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, Insua R. , Duarte M. (A),
  • 59', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 3, Bou W. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 65', Duarte M. , Cantero A. ,
  • 65', Miloc D. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Cantero A. ,
  • 70', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 74', Insua R. 🟨,
  • 76', Mater F. 🟨,
  • 81', Tapia I. , Herrera R. ,
  • 83', Bou W. , Torres J. ,
  • 90+4', Aquino D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
14.3%
Draw
26.1%
Lanús
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 29.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 29.5% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.57
    (3.56)
    3.62
    (3.17)
    1.6
    (2.16)
    5.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: Lanús will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.06%94.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Recent matches Barracas Central is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lanús is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lanús is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Kruger F. (Injury) Lopez L. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Hamstring Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Lanús were as follows:
    30.07.2023 Lanús - Barracas Central 2:0
    09.09.2022 Barracas Central - Lanús 2:0
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Lanús
    30.11.2024 Banfield - Lanús 0:1
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    11.11.2024 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)