Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Diez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Franco Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
36.5% | Draw
22.4% | Barreda Balompié
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Barreda Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barreda Balompié's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+28.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (-24.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barreda Balompié, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castro - Barreda Balompié Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(1.45) |
4.09 ↓
(4.45) |
2.23 ↓
(5.24) |
9.1%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Castro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barreda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barreda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barreda Balompié?
Castro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barreda Balompié won against Castro?
Barreda Balompié has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barreda Balompié were as follows:
11.01.2025
Barreda Balompié
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Albericia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Escobedo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Torina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Torrelavega | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Laredo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Bezana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cayon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Noja | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 | Revilla | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Montanas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
