Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Diez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Franco Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
36.5% | Draw
22.4% | Barreda Balompié
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Barreda Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barreda Balompié's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+28.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (-24.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barreda Balompié, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castro - Barreda Balompié Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(1.45) |
4.09 ↓
(4.45) |
2.23 ↓
(5.24) |
9.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castro - Barreda Balompié?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Barreda (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barreda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Castro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barreda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barreda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barreda Balompié?
Castro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barreda Balompié won against Castro?
Barreda Balompié has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barreda Balompié were as follows:
11.01.2025
Barreda Balompié
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 35:54 | -19 | 29 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | CD Colindres | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Revilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 31:59 | -28 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23:40 | -17 | 22 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19:55 | -36 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
