Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Diez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Franco Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
36.5% | Draw
22.4% | Barreda Balompié
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Barreda Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barreda Balompié's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+28.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (-24.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barreda Balompié, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castro - Barreda Balompié Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(1.45) |
4.09 ↓
(4.45) |
2.23 ↓
(5.24) |
9.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castro - Barreda Balompié?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Barreda (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barreda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Castro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barreda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barreda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barreda Balompié?
Castro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barreda Balompié won against Castro?
Barreda Balompié has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barreda Balompié were as follows:
11.01.2025
Barreda Balompié
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 61:9 | 52 | 59 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Laredo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46:29 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico Albericia | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 44 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Cayon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Torina | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Castro | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Bezana | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Revilla | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | UC Cartes | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Noja | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:40 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Montanas | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:64 | -39 | 16 |
| 17 | Selaya | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14:32 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14:34 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
