Result
2:2
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 36
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/383) | 72% (247/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/383) | 72% (247/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (36/72) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (70/109) | 52% (57/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Davison J. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
- 24', Cundy R. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Gordon J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', 1 - 2, Gordon J. ⚽,
- 71', Newby E. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
- 74', Gordon J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 75', MacDonald A. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
- 77', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 77', Young L. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
- 77', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 82', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 82', Rose D. 🟨,
- 83', Tomkinson J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 85', Fletcher I. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Miller G. (A),
- 90+1', Davison J. ↓, Sherring S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
42.3% | Draw
28.3% | Barrow
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheltenham Town's performance.Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Cheltenham Town - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.5) |
3.3 ↑
(3.27) |
3.17 ↑
(2.69) |
7.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Barrow (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cheltenham (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Cheltenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barrow's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cheltenham might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: King T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
Smith S.
(Inactive)
Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Barrow?
Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Cheltenham Town?
Barrow has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Barrow were as follows:
19.12.2025
Barrow
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
15.02.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Barrow
3:2
05.10.2024
Barrow
-
Cheltenham Town
2:1
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
