Barrow vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 21
Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.47
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
75% (334/445)	70% (219/312)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	1.68
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
7	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
29	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	2
Passes
75% (334/445)	70% (219/312)
Long passes
41% (31/76)	28% (19/68)
Passes in final third
63% (89/142)	57% (64/113)
Crosses
15% (6/40)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.63	1.17
Throw-ins
34	28
Fouls
2	8
Tackles
50% (7/14)	20% (2/10)
Duels won
59	46
Clearances
34	65
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.68	1.22
Goals prevented
-0.32	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Adelakun H. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Whitfield B. ⚽, Barkhuizen T. (A),
73', Whitfield B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
74', Earing J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
82', Hemmings K. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Archer E. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
87', Smith S. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
87', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
88', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
90+2', Adelakun H. ↓, Power D. ↑,
90+2', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Barrow
45.9%

Draw
28%

Cheltenham Town
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.4%

27.4%

Barrow - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	3.34 ↓ (3.51)	3.6 ↑ (3.39)	6.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 13.8% – 69.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 18 and 19)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cheltenham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barrow might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Cheltenham Town?

Barrow has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Barrow?

Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

15.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 3:2

05.10.2024 Barrow - Cheltenham Town 2:1

Latest results of Barrow

13.12.2025 Gillingham - Barrow 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 0:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barrow 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Newport County - Barrow 2:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Barrow - Cambridge United 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

13.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Buxton 6:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Colchester United - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	23	13	6	4	40:26	14	45
2	Swindon	23	13	4	6	37:26	11	43
3	Walsall	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
4	MK Dons	23	11	7	5	44:25	19	40
5	Salford	23	12	4	7	33:30	3	40
6	Notts Co	23	11	6	6	36:25	11	39
7	Chesterfield	23	10	8	5	39:32	7	38
8	Cambridge Utd	23	10	8	5	26:19	7	38
9	Fleetwood	23	9	7	7	32:29	3	34
10	Colchester	23	8	9	6	37:28	9	33
11	Gillingham	23	7	11	5	31:26	5	32
12	Barnet	23	8	8	7	30:25	5	32
13	Crewe	23	9	5	9	34:31	3	32
14	Oldham	23	7	10	6	23:18	5	31
15	Grimsby	23	8	7	8	34:30	4	31
16	Accrington	23	8	6	9	26:26	0	30
17	Tranmere	23	7	8	8	37:37	0	29
18	Cheltenham	23	8	3	12	21:37	-16	27
19	Barrow	23	6	6	11	25:33	-8	24
20	Crawley	23	4	7	12	27:40	-13	19
21	Shrewsbury	23	4	7	12	21:38	-17	19
22	Bristol Rovers	23	5	3	15	18:44	-26	18
23	Newport	23	4	5	14	23:41	-18	17
24	Harrogate	23	4	5	14	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League