Barrow vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 21
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.47
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
75% (334/445)70% (219/312)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.68
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
82
Passes
75% (334/445)70% (219/312)
Long passes
41% (31/76)28% (19/68)
Passes in final third
63% (89/142)57% (64/113)
Crosses
15% (6/40)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.631.17
Throw-ins
3428
Fouls
28
Tackles
50% (7/14)20% (2/10)
Duels won
5946
Clearances
3465
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.681.22
Goals prevented
-0.320.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Adelakun H. , Thomas J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Whitfield B. , Barkhuizen T. (A),
  • 73', Whitfield B. , Newby E. ,
  • 74', Earing J. , Mahoney C. ,
  • 75', Thomas J. , Archer E. ,
  • 82', Hemmings K. , Cameron I. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Archer E. , Hutchinson I. (A),
  • 87', Smith S. , Fletcher I. ,
  • 87', Barkhuizen T. , Jackson B. ,
  • 88', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 90+2', Adelakun H. , Power D. ,
  • 90+2', Hutchinson I. , Kinsella L. ,

Chances of winning


Barrow
45.9%
Draw
28%
Cheltenham Town
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.4% 27.4%

Barrow - Cheltenham Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(2.01)
3.34
(3.51)
3.6
(3.39)
6.7%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 18 and 19)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
    • Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cheltenham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barrow might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 3:2
    05.10.2024 Barrow - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    Latest results of Barrow
    13.12.2025 Gillingham - Barrow 2:2
    09.12.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 0:3
    06.12.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barrow 3:2
    29.11.2025 Newport County - Barrow 2:2
    22.11.2025 Barrow - Cambridge United 0:2
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League