Barrow vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.47
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	6
Passes
71% (339/479)	66% (258/389)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.25	1.00
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
8	2
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
21	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
71% (339/479)	66% (258/389)
Long passes
40% (36/89)	42% (41/98)
Passes in final third
57% (88/154)	50% (49/98)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.21
Throw ins
40	18
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
59% (13/22)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
74	83
Clearances
29	54
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.00	0.25
Goals prevented
0.00	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
40', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
40', Earing J. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morris B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
63', Brenan T. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
66', Headman C. 🟨,
67', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
79', Raglan C. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
87', Harper R. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
88', Heffernan C. 🟨,
90+8', Thompson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
52.9%

Draw
26.7%

Harrogate Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Harrogate Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barrow - Harrogate Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	4.51 ↑ (4.47)	6.6% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Harrogate Town?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Barrow is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Foley S. (Surgery) Hemmings K. (Injury) Williams M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Smith S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Faulkner B. (Inactive) Headman C. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Harrogate Town?

Barrow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barrow?

Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Harrogate Town were as follows:

19.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Barrow 1:0

04.01.2025 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:2

31.08.2024 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1

16.03.2024 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:0

02.09.2023 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1

Latest results of Barrow

14.02.2026 Barrow - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barrow 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Notts County - Barrow 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Swindon Town - Barrow 3:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Barrow - Crawley Town 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Harrogate Town

14.02.2026 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 2:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	43	17	14	12	54:39	15	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	43	9	9	25	43:70	-27	36
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League