Result
0:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (339/479) | 66% (258/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (339/479) | 66% (258/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (36/89) | 42% (41/98) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (88/154) | 50% (49/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 0% (0/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 83 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
- 40', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 40', Earing J. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Morris B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 63', Brenan T. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 66', Headman C. 🟨,
- 67', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 79', Raglan C. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 87', Harper R. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 88', Heffernan C. 🟨,
- 90+8', Thompson J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow
52.9% | Draw
26.7% | Harrogate Town
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The chances for Harrogate Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Barrow - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.7) |
3.51 ↓
(3.6) |
4.51 ↑
(4.47) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barrow is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Inactive)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Smith S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Headman C.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Harrogate Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barrow?
Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Harrogate Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
1:0
04.01.2025
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:2
31.08.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
16.03.2024
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.09.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
