Result
3:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/282) | 78% (365/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/282) | 78% (365/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/81) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (58/111) | 63% (88/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -2.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 10', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, March J. (A),
- 18', Jackson B. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽,
- 38', 3 - 1, March J. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
- 41', Demetriou M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
- 63', Mahoney C. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 65', Anderson F. 🟨,
- 65', Smith S. 🟨,
- 72', Shipley L. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
- 72', Whitfield B. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 78', O'Reilly T. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 84', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 85', Harper R. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 89', Holicek M. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
- 90+6', Agius C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra 51.4% | Draw 24.5% | Barrow 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Crewe Alexandra - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (1.87) |
3.76 ↑ (3.73) |
3.88 ↑ (3.66) |
7.3% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Barrow (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
- In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barrow's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crewe is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Barrow: Barkhuizen T.
(Inactive)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Barrow?
Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Crewe Alexandra?
Barrow has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Barrow were as follows:
20.09.2025
Barrow
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:0
22.02.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Barrow
3:0
10.08.2024
Barrow
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:0
20.01.2024
Barrow
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:3
22.12.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Barrow
1:3
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One