Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.60
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
80% (316/395)	70% (193/276)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	2.24
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
9	11
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
31	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
11	11
Passes
80% (316/395)	70% (193/276)
Long passes
51% (42/82)	37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)	63% (84/133)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	2.35
Throw ins
25	24
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
58% (7/12)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
49	61
Clearances
46	42
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.24	0.86
Goals prevented
1.24	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thomas C. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
51', Young L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Young L. (A),
70', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
72', Tezgel E. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
75', Young L. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
76', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
79', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
80', Lankester J. 🟨,
83', Sanders M. H. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
83', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
83', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Connolly J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
33.6%

Draw
29.9%

Crewe Alexandra
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.56 ↑ (2.46)	7.2% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Cheltenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crewe Alexandra?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Cheltenham Town?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 4:1

10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 2:3

26.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

14.03.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 2:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Cheltenham Town - Salford City 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

14.03.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One