Result
1:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 7
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 77% (342/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 77% (342/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/107) | 65% (82/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
- 16', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 26', Oldaker D. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Booty R. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 49', Smith S. 🟨,
- 61', Glatzel P. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 61', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
- 62', Oldaker D. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 75', Snowdon J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 76', Nichols T. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 76', Worrall D. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 76', Walker T. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan P. ⚽, Drinan A. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Shipley L. ⚽,
- 85', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Jackson B. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow
28.9% | Draw
27.7% | Swindon Town
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrow - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.61) |
3.47 ↑
(3.28) |
2.22 ↓
(2.64) |
3.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barrow - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
- Barrow has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Canavan N.
(Red Card)
Fletcher I.
(Injury)
Harper R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Williams M.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Foley S.
(Injury)
Healey R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Nichols T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Swindon Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Barrow?
Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Swindon Town were as follows:
18.01.2025
Swindon Town
-
Barrow
2:0
07.09.2024
Barrow
-
Swindon Town
1:0
06.04.2024
Barrow
-
Swindon Town
0:2
16.12.2023
Swindon Town
-
Barrow
0:3
15.04.2023
Swindon Town
-
Barrow
0:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
