Barrow vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Barrow - Swindon Town
Result
1:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.46
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
74% (264/356)77% (342/444)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.96
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
119
Passes
74% (264/356)77% (342/444)
Long passes
47% (31/66)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)65% (82/126)
Crosses
32% (12/38)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.02
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
912
Tackles
59% (10/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5165
Clearances
2435
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.960.43
Goals prevented
-1.04-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Drinan A. , Munroe F. (A),
  • 16', Nichols T. 🟨,
  • 26', Oldaker D. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. , Oldaker D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Booty R. , Smith S. ,
  • 49', Smith S. 🟨,
  • 61', Glatzel P. , Palmer O. ,
  • 61', Wilson-Brown T. , Clarke O. ,
  • 62', Oldaker D. , Bodin B. ,
  • 75', Snowdon J. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 76', Nichols T. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 76', Worrall D. , Mahoney C. ,
  • 76', Walker T. , Cameron I. ,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan P. , Drinan A. (A),
  • 80', 1 - 3, Shipley L. ,
  • 85', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jackson B. , Smith K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
28.9%
Draw
27.7%
Swindon Town
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.3% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barrow - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (2.61)
    3.47
    (3.28)
    2.22
    (2.64)
    3.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barrow - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
    • Barrow has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Canavan N. (Red Card) Fletcher I. (Injury) Harper R. (Hamstring Injury) Williams M. (Hernia)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Foley S. (Injury) Healey R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Nichols T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Swindon Town were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Swindon Town - Barrow 2:0
    07.09.2024 Barrow - Swindon Town 1:0
    06.04.2024 Barrow - Swindon Town 0:2
    16.12.2023 Swindon Town - Barrow 0:3
    15.04.2023 Swindon Town - Barrow 0:0
    Latest results of Barrow
    30.08.2025 Barrow - Fleetwood Town 0:1
    23.08.2025 Colchester United - Barrow 0:2
    19.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Barrow 1:0
    16.08.2025 Barrow - Notts County 2:1
    12.08.2025 Barrow - Preston North End 0:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League