Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/403) | 69% (195/283) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/403) | 69% (195/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/136) | 55% (58/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 41% (9/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Palmer O. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
- 31', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 38', Smith S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 54', Powell B. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
- 55', Fletcher I. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 65', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
- 66', Earing J. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
- 75', Ball J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 75', Nichols T. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Kirkman B. (A),
- 80', Smith S. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Olakigbe M. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 90+1', Tafazolli R. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
54.5% | Draw
24.7% | Barrow
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Swindon Town - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.66) |
3.81 ↑
(3.6) |
4.5 ↓
(4.9) |
6.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Barrow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Borland A.
(Inactive)
Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Knight-Lebel J.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Gordon J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Barrow?
Swindon Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Swindon Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Barrow were as follows:
06.09.2025
Barrow
-
Swindon Town
1:3
18.01.2025
Swindon Town
-
Barrow
2:0
07.09.2024
Barrow
-
Swindon Town
1:0
06.04.2024
Barrow
-
Swindon Town
0:2
16.12.2023
Swindon Town
-
Barrow
0:3
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
