Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 25
- Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Margetson B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Davies K. 🟨,
- 64', Smith D. 🟨,
- 66', Davies A. ↓, Clarke Z. ↑,
- 66', Barton D. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
- 79', Owen I. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 80', Wharton T. 🟨,
- 82', Mooney P. 🟨,
- 83', Bradley S. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
- 83', Lewis I. ↓, Gosset D. ↑,
- 88', Smith D. ↓, Sears R. ↑,
- 88', Young B. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Hulbert O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
54% | Draw
24% | Barry Town United
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barry Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.99) |
3.84 ↑
(3.52) |
4.2 ↑
(3.31) |
8.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caernarfon (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Caernarfon Town will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barry Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barry Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United were as follows:
11.10.2025
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
2:2
07.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:1
26.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
5:2
14.12.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:2
21.09.2024
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 72:21 | 51 | 68 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:41 | -4 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Barry | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
