Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United
Result
3:1
07/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 6
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
129
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Hulbert O. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Gosset D. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Gosset D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Barton D. , Wigley M. ,
  • 58', Lewis I. 🟨,
  • 62', George M. 🟨,
  • 63', Owen M. 🟨,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Davies A. ,
  • 77', Owen Ieuan Gwyn , Smith D. ,
  • 77', Abadaki O. , Downey S. ,
  • 77', Owen M. , Sears R. ,
  • 87', Gosset D. (Pen),
  • 88', Davies A. , Evans C. ,
  • 88', Smith D. , Harrison K. ,
  • 88', Lock J. , Ellis O. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
56.7%
Draw
23%
Barry Town United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 25% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.
  • Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.86)
    4.12
    (3.7)
    4.68
    (3.66)
    5.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
    • Caernarfon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barry Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Caernarfon is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 5:2
    14.12.2024 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 3:2
    21.09.2024 Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town 1:1
    19.11.2023 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 2:3
    30.09.2023 Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town 0:3
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Barry Town United
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1182130:72326
    2Penybont1172218:61223
    3Caernarfon1162327:161120
    4Connahs Q1043314:13115
    5Bala114349:14-515
    6Colwyn Bay1135313:9414
    7Barry1135314:14014
    8Flint1032519:24-511
    9Cardiff Metropolitan1125416:22-611
    10Briton Ferry1024416:17-110
    11Haverfordwest1022610:20-108
    12Llanelli112186:30-247

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )