Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town
Result
2:2
11/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 13
  • Referee: Harman J. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
208
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
126
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Richards E. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Mooney P. ,
  • 45+1', Richards E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Davies K. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Lewis I. ,
  • 63', Williams E. , Cuddihy O. ,
  • 63', Wigley M. , Owen Ieuan Gwyn ,
  • 65', Ellis O. , Lock J. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Sainty C. ,
  • 79', Sears R. 🟨,
  • 81', Sainty C. 🟨,
  • 84', Richards E. , Barton D. ,
  • 84', Owen M. , Harrison K. ,

Chances of winning


Barry Town United
33.1%
Draw
25.3%
Caernarfon Town
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 24.8% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 23.6% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3)
    3.65
    (3.7)
    2.22
    (2.05)
    8.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
    • Barry Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caernarfon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 3:1
    26.04.2025 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 5:2
    14.12.2024 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 3:2
    21.09.2024 Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town 1:1
    19.11.2023 Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United 2:3
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS14112143:103335
    2Penybont1482422:15726
    3Caernarfon1473432:211124
    4Connahs Q1364323:17622
    5Colwyn Bay1456316:9721
    6Cardiff Metropolitan1446423:24-118
    7Barry1437416:17-116
    8Bala1444610:19-916
    9Flint1342724:29-514
    10Briton Ferry1334617:22-513
    11Haverfordwest1333716:25-912
    12Llanelli1421117:41-347

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