Result
3:1
07/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 6
- Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Hulbert O. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Gosset D. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Gosset D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Barton D. ↓, Wigley M. ↑,
- 58', Lewis I. 🟨,
- 62', George M. 🟨,
- 63', Owen M. 🟨,
- 69', 3 - 1, Davies A. ⚽,
- 77', Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 77', Abadaki O. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
- 77', Owen M. ↓, Sears R. ↑,
- 87', Gosset D. (Pen),
- 88', Davies A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 88', Smith D. ↓, Harrison K. ↑,
- 88', Lock J. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town 56.7% | Draw 23% | Barry Town United 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caernarfon Town's performance.Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.86) |
4.12 ↑ (3.7) |
4.68 ↑ (3.66) |
5.4% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barry Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Caernarfon is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Barry Town United were as follows:
26.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
5:2
14.12.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:2
21.09.2024
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
19.11.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
2:3
30.09.2023
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
0:3
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Caernarfon | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24:9 | 15 | 17 |
2 | TNS | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 14 |
3 | Penybont | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Bala | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 11 |
5 | Colwyn Bay | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Barry | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Briton Ferry | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Connahs Q | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
9 | Flint | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:15 | -5 | 5 |
11 | Haverfordwest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
12 | Llanelli | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:26 | -23 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )