Result
2:2
11/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 13
- Referee: Harman J. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Richards E. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,
- 45+1', Richards E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Davies K. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Lewis I. ⚽,
- 63', Williams E. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
- 63', Wigley M. ↓, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↑,
- 65', Ellis O. ↓, Lock J. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Sainty C. ⚽,
- 79', Sears R. 🟨,
- 81', Sainty C. 🟨,
- 84', Richards E. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
- 84', Owen M. ↓, Harrison K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barry Town United
33.1% | Draw
25.3% | Caernarfon Town
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3) |
3.65 ↓
(3.7) |
2.22 ↑
(2.05) |
8.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
- Barry Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caernarfon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
07.09.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:1
26.04.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
5:2
14.12.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
3:2
21.09.2024
Barry Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
19.11.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Barry Town United
2:3
Latest results of Barry Town United
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 43:10 | 33 | 35 |
| 2 | Penybont | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Barry | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Bala | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 9 | Flint | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7:41 | -34 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
