Gap Connahs Quay vs Barry Town United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 30
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
81
Shots on target
11
Corner kicks
75
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
81
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
70
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Owen I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Bratley C. 🟨,
  • 68', Bratley C. , Partridge C. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Woodcock M. ,
  • 73', Fregapane M. , Bennett J. ,
  • 76', Owen I. , Smith D. ,
  • 81', Redshaw F. , Hughes J. ,
  • 81', Woodcock M. , Hughes R. ,
  • 86', Sainty C. 🟨,
  • 87', Barton D. , Norris J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
43.5%
Draw
26.9%
Barry Town United
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 23.7% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 24.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gap Connahs Quay's form might have worsened.
  • Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.71)
    3.43
    (3.95)
    3.13
    (4.31)
    8.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Gap Connahs Quay will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Connahs Quay is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • Barry Town is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 2.
    • Recent performances by Connahs Quay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barry Town is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Connahs Quay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 1:0
    03.01.2026 Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United 3:1
    27.09.2025 Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 0:0
    13.04.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United 0:2
    22.02.2025 Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 0:2
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Latest results of Barry Town United
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS ✔ 31252480:255577
    2Connahs Q. ✔ 31169660:372357
    3Barry ✔ 311210943:321146
    4Colwyn Bay ✔ 311281140:36444
    5Caernarfon ✔ 311191154:47742
    6Penybont ✔ 311181239:47-841

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)