Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/449) | 82% (280/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (378/449) | 82% (280/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (118/154) | 67% (47/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
- 27', Shaqiri X. (Pen),
- 45', Metinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Otele P. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 56', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 56', Ruegg K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Behrens K. ⚽, Dos Santos D. (A),
- 66', Mahou H. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 75', Dos Santos D. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
- 75', Behrens K. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 76', Traore B. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 83', Cimignani Y. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 83', Barisic A. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
- 83', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 84', Saipi A. 🟨,
- 86', El Wafi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Basel
54.6% | Draw
22.9% | Lugano
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Basel - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.7) |
4.11 ↓
(4.33) |
4.17 ↓
(4.18) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Basel - Lugano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- Recent performances by Basel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lugano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Basel: Tsunemoto K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Injury)
Bottani M.
(Health problems)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
Steffen R.
(Ribs Injury)
von Ballmoos D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Basel: Ajeti Al.
(Inactive)
Schmid D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Lugano?
Basel has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Basel?
Lugano has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Lugano were as follows:
10.08.2025
Lugano
-
Basel
3:1
10.05.2025
Lugano
-
Basel
2:5
06.04.2025
Basel
-
Lugano
2:0
19.01.2025
Lugano
-
Basel
2:2
27.07.2024
Basel
-
Lugano
1:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 35:21 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Basel | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 4 | Lugano | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38:35 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Sion | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Zurich | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 26:31 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Servette | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Luzern | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 31:35 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23:50 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
