Basel vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Basel - Stuttgart
Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.192.42
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
72% (209/290)85% (449/529)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.192.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.421.71
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
512
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
920
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1847
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
72% (209/290)85% (449/529)
Long passes
45% (32/71)54% (20/37)
Passes in final third
62% (48/78)75% (144/191)
Crosses
0% (0/9)38% (12/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.67
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1910
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
4622
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.711.42
Goals prevented
1.71-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ⚽,
  • 30', Ajeti Al. 🟨,
  • 36', Demirovic E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Agbonifo J. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
  • 69', Schmid D. 🟨,
  • 69', Andres C. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
  • 69', Leweling J. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
  • 71', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
  • 71', Koindredi K. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
  • 71', Otele P. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
  • 78', Salah I. 🟨,
  • 79', Bouanani B. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Broschinski M. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
  • 90', Salah I. ↓, Barisic A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Basel
30.8%		Draw
23.8%		Stuttgart
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 25.3% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 24.7% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Basel - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.13 ↓
    (3.42)    		 4.1 ↑
    (3.8)    		 2.2 ↑
    (2.07)    		 1.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Basel - Stuttgart?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stuttgart is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
    • Stuttgart could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Basel: Traore B. (Leg Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Hamstring Injury) van Breemen F. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Nartey N. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Basel: Koindredi K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    Latest results of Basel
    28.09.2025 Basel - Luzern 1:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Basel 2:3
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart 2:6
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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