Basel vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.192.42
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
72% (209/290)85% (449/529)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.192.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.421.71
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
512
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
920
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1847
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
72% (209/290)85% (449/529)
Long passes
45% (32/71)54% (20/37)
Passes in final third
62% (48/78)75% (144/191)
Crosses
0% (0/9)38% (12/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.67
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1910
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
4622
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.711.42
Goals prevented
1.71-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ,
  • 30', Ajeti Al. 🟨,
  • 36', Demirovic E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Agbonifo J. , Salah I. ,
  • 69', Schmid D. 🟨,
  • 69', Andres C. , El Khannouss B. ,
  • 69', Leweling J. , Fuhrich C. ,
  • 71', Ajeti Al. , Broschinski M. ,
  • 71', Koindredi K. , Bacanin A. ,
  • 71', Otele P. , Soticek M. ,
  • 78', Salah I. 🟨,
  • 79', Bouanani B. , Jovanovic L. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Broschinski M. , Shaqiri X. (A),
  • 90', Salah I. , Barisic A. ,
  • 90+1', Assignon L. , Vagnoman J. ,

Chances of winning


Basel
30.8%
Draw
23.8%
Stuttgart
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 25.3% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 24.7% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Basel - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.42)
    4.1
    (3.8)
    2.2
    (2.07)
    1.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Basel - Stuttgart?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Stuttgart (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.79%93.87%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stuttgart is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
    • Stuttgart could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Basel: Traore B. (Leg Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Hamstring Injury) van Breemen F. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Nartey N. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Basel: Koindredi K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    Latest results of Basel
    28.09.2025 Basel - Luzern 1:2
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1
    19.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Basel 2:3
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3
    30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)0 : 4, 2 : 0
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)1 : 5, 1 : 0
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)2 : 0, 1 : 1
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)0 : 2, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Braga (6)Betis (4)
    2Freiburg (7)Celta Vigo (16)
    3FC Porto (5)Nottingham (13)
    4Bologna (10)Aston Villa (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2