Basquete Cearense vs Pato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
64:59
18/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Ferreira L. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7066
Field goals made
2523
Field goals %
35.71%34.85%
2-point field goals attempts
4438
2-point field goals made
1916
2-point field goals %
43.18%42.11%
3-point field goals attempts
2628
3-point field goals made
67
3-point field goals %
23.08%25%
Free throws attempts
119
Free throws made
86
Free throws %
72.7%66.7%
Offensive rebounds
1817
Defensive rebounds
2630
Total rebounds
4447
Assists
1511
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1416
Steals
137
Personal fouls
1217

Chances of winning


Basquete Cearense
43.4%
Pato
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquete Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Basquete Cearense - Pato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.97)

    1.66
    (1.7)
    7.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Basquete Cearense - Pato?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cearense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pato will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cearense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 3.
    • Cearense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 987:965. (average 75.9:74.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 474:418. (average 79:69.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basquete Cearense - Pato were as follows:
    14.11.2025 Pato - Basquete Cearense 82:79
    13.01.2025 Basquete Cearense - Pato 80:76
    22.10.2024 Pato - Basquete Cearense 89:60
    02.03.2024 Basquete Cearense - Pato 90:69
    29.11.2023 Pato - Basquete Cearense 75:76
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Latest results of Pato
    12.02.2026 Pato - Botafogo 93:67
    04.02.2026 Pato - Flamengo 84:53
    02.02.2026 Pato - Vasco da Gama 75:84
    21.01.2026 Minas - Pato 75:67
    19.01.2026 Cruzeiro - Pato 89:81
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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