São Paulo vs Basquete Cearense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:79
04/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: NBB
  • Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5866
Field Goals Made
2727
Field Goals %
46.6%40.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3337
2-Point Field Goals Made
2218
2-Point Field Goals %
66.7%48.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2529
3-Point Field Goals Made
59
3-Point Field Goals %
20%31%
Free Throws Attempted
2927
Free Throws Made
1616
Free Throws %
55.2%59.3%
Offensive Rebounds
1210
Defensive Rebounds
3125
Total Rebounds
4335
Assists
2215
Blocks
01
Turnovers
2011
Steals
712
Personal Fouls
2527

Chances of winning


São Paulo
66.4%
Basquete Cearense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • São Paulo - Basquete Cearense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)

    2.77
    (2.96)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 856:762 (average 85.6:76.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 418:367 (average 83.6:73.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Basquete Cearense were as follows:
    14.11.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 79:80
    13.01.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 75:81
    06.11.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 70:86
    04.02.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 85:70
    08.12.2022 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 81:111
    Latest results of São Paulo
    13.02.2025 São Paulo - Unifacisa 68:66
    08.02.2025 Pinheiros - São Paulo 80:71
    25.01.2025 Minas - São Paulo 82:66
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros312652678:23010.839
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas292272527:23850.759
    5Corinthians Paulista302282540:23440.733
    6Brasilia312292522:22210.710
    7Paulistano3119122566:24320.613
    8Bauru3219132593:25130.594
    9Sao Jose3219132635:25650.594
    10Mogi3117142349:21730.548
    11Uniao Corinthians3016142386:24370.533
    12Unifacisa3016142411:23830.533
    13Caxias do Sul3114172262:23810.452
    14Cruzeiro3111202475:26580.355
    15Rio Claro3210222506:27710.313
    16Pato317242276:24740.226
    17Botafogo317242249:25770.226
    18Cearense326262437:27990.188
    19Osasco325272439:28050.156
    20Vasco325272247:25390.156

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