São Paulo vs Basquete Cearense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:79
04/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: NBB
  • Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5866
Field Goals Made
2727
Field Goals %
46.6%40.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3337
2-Point Field Goals Made
2218
2-Point Field Goals %
66.7%48.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2529
3-Point Field Goals Made
59
3-Point Field Goals %
20%31%
Free Throws Attempted
2927
Free Throws Made
1616
Free Throws %
55.2%59.3%
Offensive Rebounds
1210
Defensive Rebounds
3125
Total Rebounds
4335
Assists
2215
Blocks
01
Turnovers
2011
Steals
712
Personal Fouls
2527

Chances of winning


São Paulo
66.4%
Basquete Cearense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • São Paulo - Basquete Cearense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)

    2.77
    (2.96)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 856:762 (average 85.6:76.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 418:367 (average 83.6:73.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Basquete Cearense were as follows:
    14.11.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 79:80
    13.01.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 75:81
    06.11.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 70:86
    04.02.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 85:70
    08.12.2022 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 81:111
    Latest results of São Paulo
    13.02.2025 São Paulo - Unifacisa 68:66
    08.02.2025 Pinheiros - São Paulo 80:71
    25.01.2025 Minas - São Paulo 82:66
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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