Dijon vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Dijon
33.2%
Draw
32.7%
Bastia
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 32.2% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 31.8% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Dijon - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.61)
    2.86
    (2.89)
    2.76
    (2.92)
    6.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Dijon - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Bastia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2%76.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5).
    • Dijon has the most likely position - 18 (23.85%), project points - 38, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (28.52%), project points - 62, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 32, importance 38, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Dijon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bastia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dijon - Bastia were as follows:
    02.09.2022 Bastia - Dijon 1:0
    Latest results of Dijon
    15.04.2023 Quevilly - Dijon 2:2
    08.04.2023 Dijon - Rodez 1:0
    01.04.2023 Caen - Dijon 2:1
    18.03.2023 Dijon - Pau 0:1
    11.03.2023 Guingamp - Dijon 2:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    08.04.2023 Bordeaux - Bastia 2:0
    01.04.2023 Bastia - Sochaux 3:2
    18.03.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 0:1
    11.03.2023 Valenciennes - Bastia 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National