Result
3:1
27/01/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Valenciennes
32.9% | Draw
32.4% | Bastia
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Valenciennes - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.47) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
2.71 ↓
(3) |
6.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Valenciennes - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Valenciennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Valenciennes won against Bastia?
Valenciennes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Valenciennes?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valenciennes - Bastia were as follows:
12.08.2023
Bastia
-
Valenciennes
3:0
11.03.2023
Valenciennes
-
Bastia
2:2
30.12.2022
Bastia
-
Valenciennes
1:0
Latest results of Valenciennes
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
