Paris FC vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Charlety (Paris).

Ligue 2 - Round 31
Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.62
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
81% (324/399)	83% (324/389)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.99
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Through passes
0% (0/2)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
81% (324/399)	83% (324/389)
Long passes
62% (31/50)	47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)	75% (66/88)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.55
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
62% (16/26)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
62	43
Clearances Total
17	8
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.99	0.48
Goals prevented
0.99	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Hamel P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Cafaro M. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
58', Janneh J. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
60', Lopez M. 🟨,
60', Vincent C. 🟨,
61', Gory A. 🟨,
68', Boutrah A. 🟨,
74', Hamel P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
75', Dicko N. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
75', Marchetti V. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
76', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
77', Vincent C. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
83', Placide J. 🟨,
88', Akueson G. 🟥,
90+3', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
90+3', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
90+3', Sissoko O. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
90+6', Guidi D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Paris FC
47.5%

Draw
28.1%

Bastia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Paris FC - Bastia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.37 ↓ (3.67)	3.9 ↓ (4.26)	5.7% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Paris FC - Bastia?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 57.1% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bastia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.
Now both teams are in good shape.
In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Krasso J. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z. (Injury) Etoga L. (Inactive) Guevara J. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Bastia?

Paris FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Paris FC?

Bastia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Bastia were as follows:

20.09.2024 Bastia - Paris FC 2:1

17.05.2024 Bastia - Paris FC 1:1

11.11.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0

18.03.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 0:1

05.11.2022 Bastia - Paris FC 0:1

Latest results of Paris FC

12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0 ✺

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Laval - Paris FC 3:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Bastia

14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	4	2	2	0	9:4	5	8
2	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
3	Nancy	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
4	Red Star	4	2	1	1	7:4	3	7
5	Reims	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
6	Troyes	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
7	Clermont	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	Amiens	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
9	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	7:7	0	5
10	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
11	Rodez	4	1	2	1	2:5	-3	5
12	Laval	4	0	4	0	5:5	0	4
13	Le Mans	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
14	Annecy	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4
15	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
16	Grenoble	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2
17	Bastia	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1
18	Boulogne	3	0	0	3	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National