Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 83% (324/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 83% (324/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 75% (66/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Hamel P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Cafaro M. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
- 58', Janneh J. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
- 60', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 60', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 61', Gory A. 🟨,
- 68', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 74', Hamel P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 75', Dicko N. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 75', Marchetti V. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
- 76', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 77', Vincent C. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 83', Placide J. 🟨,
- 88', Akueson G. 🟥,
- 90+3', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 90+3', Sissoko O. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 90+6', Guidi D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
47.5% | Draw
28.1% | Bastia
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Paris FC - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.79) |
3.37 ↓
(3.67) |
3.9 ↓
(4.26) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bastia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Gueye L.
(Knee Injury)
Kebbal I.
(Injury)
Krasso J.
(Injury)
Pembele A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z.
(Injury)
Etoga L.
(Inactive)
Guevara J.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Bastia?
Paris FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Paris FC?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Bastia were as follows:
20.09.2024
Bastia
-
Paris FC
2:1
17.05.2024
Bastia
-
Paris FC
1:1
11.11.2023
Paris FC
-
Bastia
1:0
18.03.2023
Paris FC
-
Bastia
0:1
05.11.2022
Bastia
-
Paris FC
0:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Nancy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Clermont | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Amiens | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Montpellier | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Annecy | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Dunkerque | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
