Paris FC vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Football French Ligue 2 Paris FC - Bastia
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.62
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (324/399)83% (324/389)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.99
Total shots
119
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2222
Through passes
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
81% (324/399)83% (324/389)
Long passes
62% (31/50)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)75% (66/88)
Crosses
38% (5/13)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.55
Fouls
1112
Tackles
62% (16/26)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6243
Clearances Total
178
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.990.48
Goals prevented
0.99-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Hamel P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Cafaro M. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
  • 58', Janneh J. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
  • 60', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 60', Vincent C. 🟨,
  • 61', Gory A. 🟨,
  • 68', Boutrah A. 🟨,
  • 74', Hamel P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
  • 75', Dicko N. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
  • 75', Marchetti V. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
  • 76', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
  • 77', Vincent C. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
  • 83', Placide J. 🟨,
  • 88', Akueson G. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sissoko O. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
  • 90+6', Guidi D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
47.5%		Draw
28.1%		Bastia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 24.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
    •

    Paris FC - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.79)    		 3.37 ↓
    (3.67)    		 3.9 ↓
    (4.26)    		 5.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris FC - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 57.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bastia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • In this match Paris FC is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Krasso J. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z. (Injury) Etoga L. (Inactive) Guevara J. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Bastia were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Bastia - Paris FC 2:1
    17.05.2024 Bastia - Paris FC 1:1
    11.11.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    18.03.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 0:1
    05.11.2022 Bastia - Paris FC 0:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0 ✺
    31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Laval - Paris FC 3:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bastia
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0 ✺
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy