BATE Borisov vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga BATE Borisov - Smorgon
Result
2:2
26/05/2025 at 13:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 10
  • Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2514
Throw-ins
3823
Fouls
1224
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Rakhimov A. , Stankevich A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Svirepa A. , Zhulpa D. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Piletskiy R. , Osipov E. (A),
  • 32', Piletskiy R. 🟨,
  • 38', Osipov E. 🟨,
  • 42', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Costrov I. , Telesh M. ,
  • 66', Piletskiy R. , Guibero R. ,
  • 70', Diallo M. , Sodikov S. ,
  • 70', Telesh M. 🟨,
  • 77', Chebotar V. , Dayneko A. ,
  • 79', Osipov E. , Svidinskiy M. ,
  • 79', Kargbo I. , Prudnikov N. ,
  • 80', Rakhimov A. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 87', Zhulpa D. , Rusenchik V. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Tishko A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
67.4%
Draw
20.8%
Smorgon
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 22.1% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 17.2% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BATE Borisov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • BATE Borisov - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.45)
    4.44
    (4.3)
    7.85
    (7.7)
    8.2%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - Smorgon?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. BATE will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Smorgon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 4.
    • Recent performances by BATE have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Smorgon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, BATE is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, BATE won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - Smorgon were as follows:
    28.11.2024 BATE Borisov - Smorgon 7:4
    06.07.2024 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 0:0
    17.09.2023 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 1:2
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    Latest results of Smorgon
    16.05.2025 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    11.05.2025 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 0:1
    03.05.2025 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ 0:1
    26.04.2025 Naftan - Smorgon 3:1
    21.04.2025 ML Vitebsk - Smorgon 3:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr23135538:231544
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch23109440:221839
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon23551317:33-1620
    15Slutsk22341511:36-2513
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga