Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 25
- Referee: Dmitriev D. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Doumbia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Chebotar V. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
- 63', Bamba L. ↓, Aliyu H. S. ↑,
- 69', Apanasevich K. ↓, Charles Y. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Bogdanovich I. ⚽,
- 77', Rusakov E. ↓, Kiselev V. ↑,
- 78', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Levkovets A. ↑,
- 78', Yatskevich V. ↓, Kargbo I. ↑,
- 86', Dukso M. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
- 86', Svirepa A. ↓, Telesh M. ↑,
- 86', Rusenchik V. ↓, Zhulpa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Smorgon 34.8% | Draw 28.1% | BATE Borisov 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Smorgon - BATE Borisov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↓ (3.13) |
3.31 ↑ (2.9) |
2.51 ↑ (2.42) |
7.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Smorgon - BATE Borisov?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). BATE will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against BATE Borisov?
Smorgon has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BATE Borisov won against Smorgon?
BATE Borisov has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - BATE Borisov were as follows:
26.05.2025
BATE Borisov
-
Smorgon
2:2
28.11.2024
BATE Borisov
-
Smorgon
7:4
06.07.2024
Smorgon
-
BATE Borisov
0:0
17.09.2023
Smorgon
-
BATE Borisov
1:2
Latest results of Smorgon
Latest results of BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:16 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 45:25 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Isloch | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Neman | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | BATE | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16:43 | -27 | 18 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 25 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 18:57 | -39 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga