Result
2:4 pen.
23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Monaco
43.2% | Draw
26% | Bayer Leverkusen
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.24) |
3.7 ↑
(3.66) |
3.13 ↑
(3.09) |
4.2%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R.
(Thigh Injury)
Martins G.
(Thigh Injury)
Volland K.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Monaco?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
16.02.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Monaco
2:3
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
