Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Louis II (Monaco).

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Chances of winning

Monaco
43.2%

Draw
26%

Bayer Leverkusen
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)	3.7 ↑ (3.66)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	4.2% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2% – 81%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R. (Thigh Injury) Martins G. (Thigh Injury) Volland K. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C. (Calf Injury) Lunev A. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M. (Muscle Injury)
Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Monaco?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:

16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3

Latest results of Monaco

19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2 ✺

16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3 ✺

11.02.2023 Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain 3:1 ✺

05.02.2023 Clermont - Monaco 0:2 ✺

01.02.2023 Monaco - Auxerre 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

19.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 2:3 ✺

16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3 ✺

11.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺

03.02.2023 Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺

29.01.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
4	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
8	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
9	Shkendija	Bye
16	Bye	Ludogorets
17	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
24	Bye	Young Boys
25	Malmo FF	Bye
32	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
33	Panathinaikos	Bye
35	Besiktas	Bye
36	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves	0 : 0, 6 : 0
40	Bye	Samsunspor
41	Aberdeen	Bye
45	FCSB	Bye
48	Bye	Drita
49	Lech Poznan	Bye
56	Bye	Genk
57	Fredrikstad	Bye
59	Midtjylland	Bye
60	Bye	Hibernian
61	RFS	Bye
64	Bye	KuPS
65	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
68	Bye	Noah
69	Lugano	Bye
70	Paks	CFR Cluj	0 : 3, 0 : 0
71	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva	2 : 1, 0 : 0
72	Bye	Braga
73	Zrinjski	Bye
76	Bye	Breidablik
77	Servette	Bye
79	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina	1 : 2, 4 : 0
80	Bye	Utrecht
81	Anderlecht	Bye
82	Trnava	Hacken	2 : 2, 0 : 1
84	Bye	Brann
85	Sabah Baku	Celje	3 : 3, 2 : 3
86	AEK Larnaca	Partizan	2 : 2, 1 : 0
87	Ostrava	Bye
88	Legia	Aktobe	1 : 0, 1 : 0
89	Rijeka	Bye
92	Bye	Shelbourne
93	PAOK	Bye
96	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Quarter-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
2	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Shkendija	Bye
8	Bye	Ludogorets
9	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
12	Bye	Young Boys
13	Malmo FF	Bye
16	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
17	Panathinaikos	Bye
18	Besiktas	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 2, 2 : 4
20	Bye	Samsunspor
21	Aberdeen	Bye
23	FCSB	Bye
24	Bye	Drita
25	Lech Poznan	Bye
28	Bye	Genk
29	Fredrikstad	Bye
30	Midtjylland	Hibernian	2 : 1, 1 : 1
31	RFS	Bye
32	Bye	KuPS
33	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
34	Bye	Noah
35	Lugano	CFR Cluj	0 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Levski Sofia	Braga	0 : 1, 0 : 0
37	Zrinjski	Bye
38	Bye	Breidablik
39	Servette	Bye
40	Sheriff Tiraspol	Utrecht	1 : 4, 1 : 3
41	Anderlecht	Hacken	1 : 3, 1 : 0
42	Bye	Brann
43	Celje	AEK Larnaca	1 : 2, 1 : 1
44	Ostrava	Legia	1 : 2, 2 : 2
45	Rijeka	Bye
46	Bye	Shelbourne
47	PAOK	Bye
48	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Semi-finals

1	Hamrun	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 3, 1 : 2
2	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Shkendija	Bye
4	Bye	Ludogorets
5	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
6	Bye	Young Boys
7	Malmo FF	Bye
8	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
9	Panathinaikos	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 : 0, 0 : 0
10	Bye	Samsunspor
11	Aberdeen	Bye
12	FCSB	Drita	3 : 1, 3 : 2
13	Lech Poznan	Bye
14	Bye	Genk
15	Fredrikstad	Midtjylland	0 : 2, 1 : 3
16	RFS	KuPS	0 : 1, 1 : 2
17	Lincoln Red Imps	Noah	1 : 0, 1 : 1
18	CFR Cluj	Braga	0 : 2, 1 : 2
19	Zrinjski	Breidablik	2 : 1, 1 : 1
20	Servette	Utrecht	1 : 2, 1 : 3
21	Hacken	Brann	1 : 0, 0 : 2
22	AEK Larnaca	Legia	1 : 2, 4 : 1
23	Rijeka	Shelbourne	3 : 1, 1 : 2
24	PAOK	Wolfsberger AC	1 : 0, 0 : 0

Final

1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Dyn. Kyiv	3 : 1
2	Shkendija	Ludogorets	2 : 1
3	Slovan Bratislava	Young Boys	0 : 1
4	Malmo FF	Sigma Olomouc	3 : 0
5	Panathinaikos	Samsunspor	2 : 1
6	Aberdeen	FCSB	2 : 2
7	Lech Poznan	Genk	1 : 5
8	Midtjylland	KuPS	4 : 0
9	Lincoln Red Imps	Braga	0 : 4
10	Zrinjski	Utrecht	0 : 2
11	Brann	AEK Larnaca	2 : 1
12	Rijeka	PAOK	1 : 0