Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
2:4 pen.
23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Monaco
43.2%
Draw
26%
Bayer Leverkusen
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 25.5% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.24)
    3.7
    (3.66)
    3.13
    (3.09)
    4.2%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R. (Thigh Injury) Martins G. (Thigh Injury) Volland K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C. (Calf Injury) Lunev A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3
    05.02.2023 Clermont - Monaco 0:2
    01.02.2023 Monaco - Auxerre 3:2
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita