Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
2:4 pen.
23/02/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Monaco
43.2%
Draw
26%
Bayer Leverkusen
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 25.5% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.24)
    3.7
    (3.66)
    3.13
    (3.09)
    4.2%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 63 - 71.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 15 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • This event has big quality 73, very big importance 90, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Monaco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R. (Thigh Injury) Martins G. (Thigh Injury) Volland K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C. (Calf Injury) Lunev A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Maripan G. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Diaby M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 2.24.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3
    05.02.2023 Clermont - Monaco 0:2
    01.02.2023 Monaco - Auxerre 3:2
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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