Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:2
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
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chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
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cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
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italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
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malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
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netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
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peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
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south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 4, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
84% (364/433)85% (352/415)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.232.46
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
119
Passes
84% (364/433)85% (352/415)
Long passes
41% (16/39)39% (13/33)
Passes in final third
81% (102/126)79% (123/156)
Crosses
19% (4/21)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.22
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
911
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3433
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
2.462.23
Goals prevented
0.461.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Bruno Guimaraes (Own goal), Andrich R. (A),
  • 21', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
  • 47', Poku E. 🟨,
  • 50', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
  • 71', Poku E. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Miley L. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
  • 78', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 82', Ramsdale A. 🟨,
  • 85', Tillman M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Maza I. (A),
  • 90', Arthur ↓, Bade L. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Woltemade N. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
29.2%		Draw
25.5%		Newcastle United
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 26.5% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 27.2% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.29 ↑
    (2.71)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.63)    		 2.13 ↓
    (2.52)    		 3.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 16 - 29.6%). Newcastle will win (votes: 27 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 36.7% – 63.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Newcastle (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bayer (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH 0 - Bayer (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Newcastle (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Newcastle (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Bayer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Bayer (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Newcastle (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Bayer has had a series of away games.
    • Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Inactive) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (Inactive) Terrier M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Inactive) Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Pope N. (Muscle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Lucas (Muscle Injury) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Krafth E. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    06.12.2025 Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 ✺
    02.12.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    02.12.2025 Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Everton - Newcastle United 1:4 ✺
    25.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester City 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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