Burnley vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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vietnamVietnamK+ CINE, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.362.46
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
39
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Long passes
32% (17/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (65/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
93
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.460.36
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
  • 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 28', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 28', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 32', Florentino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
  • 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7

Chances of winning


Burnley
16.7%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle United
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 24% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Burnley - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.73 ↑
    (5.15)    		 4.27 ↑
    (3.87)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.65)    		 4.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Newcastle (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knock) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J. (Injury) Esteve M. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1
    04.05.2024 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:4
    30.09.2023 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 35237567:264176
    2Manchester City ✔ 33217566:293770
    3Manchester Utd ✔ 351810763:481564
    4Liverpool351771159:471258
    5Aston Villa351771148:44458
    6Bournemouth351216755:52352
    7Brentford351491252:46651
    8Brighton3513111149:42750
    9Chelsea341391253:45848
    10Fulham351461544:49-548
    11Everton341381341:41047
    12Sunderland3512111237:46-947
    13Newcastle351361649:51-245
    14Leeds3510131247:52-543
    15Crystal Palace3411101336:42-643
    16Nottingham341091541:45-439
    17Tottenham359101645:54-937
    18West Ham35991742:61-1936
    19Burnley ✔ 35482335:71-3620
    20Wolves ✔ 35392325:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Burnley is Relegated to Championship
    Wolves is Relegated to Championship
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