Bayer Leverkusen vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:7
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.81
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
624
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (268/316)94% (729/773)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.303.86
Total shots
624
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
011
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1042
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
68
Passes
85% (268/316)94% (729/773)
Long passes
53% (20/38)68% (21/31)
Passes in final third
60% (33/55)89% (178/200)
Crosses
50% (1/2)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.292.24
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
86
Tackles
54% (7/13)58% (11/19)
Duels won
2640
Clearances
113
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
3.861.30
Goals prevented
-3.14-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Pacho W. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
  • 24', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
  • 25', Grimaldo A. (Pen),
  • 31', Andrich R. 🟥,
  • 37', Zabarnyi I. 🟥,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Garcia A. (Pen),
  • 41', 1 - 2, Doue D. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
  • 43', Echeverri C. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 3, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
  • 45+1', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 4, Doue D. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Echeverri C. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
  • 46', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 5, Mendes N. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 52', Kofane C. M. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
  • 54', 2 - 5, Garcia A. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 63', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 63', Mayulu S. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 63', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
  • 66', 2 - 6, Dembele O. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
  • 72', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 76', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
  • 81', Fernandez E. ↓, Mensah J. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 7, Vitinha ⚽,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
5%		Draw
17.6%		Paris Saint-Germain
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 22.9% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5% 21.9% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 28.78 ↑
    (4.97)    		 7.58 ↑
    (4.19)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.66)    		 -17.7%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Bayer (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - PSG (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (79 of 92 users predict this - 85.87%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.75% – 92.99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 45 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 3 - 6.7%). PSG (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, PSG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Inactive) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Inactive) Tillman M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Neves J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Quansah J. (Muscle Injury) Schick P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺
    04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    01.10.2025 Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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