Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
1:4
20/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Lahoz A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTBF
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
26.1%
Draw
26.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 27.8% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 27.6% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.8)
    3.58
    (3.4)
    2.04
    (2)
    4.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 15 - 24.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 54.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 42.4%67.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (36%), a small chance of final (9%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
    • Bayer has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (64%), a chance of final (33%), a chance of win league (17%).
    • This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Bayer will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Van Der Heyden S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Lunev A. (Back Injury) Schick P. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    13.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0