Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
1:4
20/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Lahoz A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTBF
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
26.1%
Draw
26.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 27.8% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 27.6% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.8)
    3.58
    (3.4)
    2.04
    (2)
    4.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 15 - 24.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 54.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 42.4%67.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (36%), a small chance of final (9%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
    • Bayer has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (64%), a chance of final (33%), a chance of win league (17%).
    • This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Bayer will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Van Der Heyden S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Lunev A. (Back Injury) Schick P. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    13.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 0
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 0
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ByeTBD #10
    6TBD #11Bye
    7ByeTBD #14