Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Angola | Z Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 259, Sky Sport Max |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | SuperSport 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Montenegro | Sportklub 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 6 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+ |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.35 | 0.54 |
Ball Possession |
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35% | 65% |
Goal Attempts |
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7 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 15 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Fouls |
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15 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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5 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 13 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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15 | 21 |
Passes |
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81% (269/333) | 90% (579/640) |
Passes in the final third |
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70% (60/86) | 80% (106/132) |
Crosses |
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20% (3/15) | 12% (2/17) |
Tackles |
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36% (5/14) | 69% (11/16) |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Dier E. (A),
- 40', Goretzka L. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Ginter M. ↑,
- 53', Kubler L. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 2, Kim Min-Jae ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
- 59', Atubolu N. 🟨,
- 63', Kane H. 🟨,
- 63', Gnabry S. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
- 63', Sane L. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Ginter M. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
- 75', Holer L. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
- 76', Doan R. 🟨,
- 77', Dinkci E. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
- 77', Eggestein M. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
- 83', Musiala J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
- 83', Guerreiro R. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
- 85', Makengo J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 90+2', Schuster J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Grifo V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Muller T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 8.5% | Draw 14.8% | Bayern Munich 76.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
11.58 ↑ (7.04) |
6.52 ↑ (5.37) |
1.25 ↓ (1.4) |
3.7% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 42.2% – 74.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 1.
- Recent matches Freiburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bayern is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M.
(Back Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Muslija F.
(Ankle Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T.
(Muscle Injury)
Davies A.
(Thigh Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Laimer K.
(Yellow Cards)
Peretz D.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Boey S.
(Ankle Injury)
Palhinha J.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 17:50 (average 0.9:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:20 (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayern Munich?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Freiburg?
Bayern Munich has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
01.09.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
2:0
01.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
08.10.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
3:0
08.04.2023
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
0:1
04.04.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
1:2
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga