Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilSporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1, Nova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.272.35
Ball possession
28%72%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
39
Passes
78% (203/261)92% (631/687)
Yellow cards
64
Expected goals (xG)
2.272.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.153.10
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
10
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2230
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1612
Passes
78% (203/261)92% (631/687)
Long passes
38% (21/55)63% (19/30)
Passes in final third
58% (29/50)85% (204/240)
Crosses
42% (5/12)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.872.08
Throw ins
622
Fouls
1216
Tackles
44% (11/25)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5445
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
3.102.15
Goals prevented
1.100.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Vieira F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Karl L. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
  • 46', 1 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 2, Vuskovic L. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
  • 55', Muheim M. 🟨,
  • 57', Kim Min-Jae 🟨,
  • 59', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 65', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 65', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Tah J. ↑,
  • 74', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
  • 74', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Omari W. ↑,
  • 75', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
  • 85', Vieira F. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 85', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 86', Gocholeishvili G. 🟨,
  • 87', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Heuer Fernandes D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Kimmich J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
10.8%		Draw
15.6%		Bayern Munich
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 15.4% 73%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7% 15.5% 72.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.02 ↑
    (8.17)    		 6.18 ↑
    (6.15)    		 1.3
    (1.3)    		 4.2%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 35 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 72% – 94.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Bayern (1.75) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +2 - Hamburg (1.62) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Bayern (2.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Bayern (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bayern is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Suspended) Poulsen Y. (Ankle Injury) Ramos G. (Inactive) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury) Sahiti E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Calf Injury) Laimer K. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Balde F. (Injury) Downs D. (Injury) Glatzel R. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 8:72. (average 0.4:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:28. (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    28.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Saint-Gilloise 2:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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