Hamburger SV vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 31
Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.35	1.45
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
4	6
Big chances
2	5
Corner kicks
4	9
Passes
73% (234/319)	81% (352/435)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.35	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	2.72
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
11	8
Shots outside the box
1	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	5
Corner kicks
4	9
Touches in opposition box
25	34
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
18	11
Passes
73% (234/319)	81% (352/435)
Long passes
33% (22/67)	40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
56% (52/93)	65% (85/131)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	2.09
Throw ins
10	18
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
61% (14/23)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
66	53
Clearances
44	18
Interceptions
13	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.72	0.95
Goals prevented
0.72	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Hranac R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Asllani F. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
32', Baumann O. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Glatzel R. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 2, Lemperle T. ⚽, Hajdari A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hranac R. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
49', Remberg N. 🟨,
64', Asllani F. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
64', Glatzel R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
69', Promel G. 🟨,
71', Burger W. 🟨,
75', Kramaric A. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
75', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Lokonga A. S. ↑,
75', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
86', Toure B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
86', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
88', Gronbaek A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
88', Omari W. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
90+2', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
21.6%

Draw
22.8%

Hoffenheim
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

23.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

23.4%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.58)	4.18 ↑ (4.01)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	4.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hoffenheim is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Foot Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Muheim M. (Injury) Otele P. (Red Card) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury) Vuskovic L. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Bernardo (Injury) Burger W. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Hoffenheim?

Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Hamburger SV?

Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim were as follows:

13.12.2025 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV 4:1

Latest results of Hamburger SV

18.04.2026 Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV 3:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 4:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Hamburger SV - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 3:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Hoffenheim

18.04.2026 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:1 ✺

10.04.2026 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Hoffenheim - Mainz 1:2 ✺

26.03.2026 Hoffenheim - Elversberg 3:5 ✺

20.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 5:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	32	26	5	1	116:35	81	83
2	Dortmund	31	20	7	4	65:31	34	67
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	5	8	63:42	21	62
4	Bayer Leverkusen	32	17	7	8	66:43	23	58
5	Stuttgart	32	17	7	8	66:46	20	58
6	Hoffenheim	32	17	7	8	64:48	16	58
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	32	11	10	11	57:60	-3	43
8	Freiburg	31	12	7	12	44:52	-8	43
9	Augsburg	32	11	7	14	42:56	-14	40
10	Mainz	31	8	10	13	39:49	-10	34
11	Hamburger SV	32	8	10	14	36:51	-15	34
12	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37:57	-20	33
13	FC Koln	32	7	11	14	47:55	-8	32
14	B. Monchengladbach	31	7	11	13	36:50	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	32	8	8	16	37:57	-20	32
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26:53	-27	26
17	Wolfsburg	31	6	7	18	41:66	-25	25
18	Heidenheim	32	5	8	19	38:69	-31	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )