Bayern Munich vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilRedeTV!, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.230.60
Ball Possession
85%15%
Total shots
245
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
82
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
91% (885/970)59% (104/176)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
4.230.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.941.50
Total shots
245
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
203
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
82
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
538
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
87
Passes
91% (885/970)59% (104/176)
Long passes
62% (28/45)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
83% (275/330)42% (20/48)
Crosses
30% (8/27)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
3.330.61
Throw-ins
2910
Fouls
78
Tackles
71% (5/7)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4442
Clearances
1249
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
1.502.94
Goals prevented
-0.500.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Karl L. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Potulski K. , Boving W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', da Costa D. 🟨,
  • 61', Ito H. , Davies A. ,
  • 61', Bischof T. , Laimer K. ,
  • 61', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
  • 62', Kawasaki S. , Nordin A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Lee Jae-Sung , Bell S. (A),
  • 73', Kim Min-Jae , Jackson N. ,
  • 77', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 78', Hollerbach B. , Weiper N. ,
  • 83', Davies A. 🟨,
  • 85', Potulski K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
86.3%
Draw
8.9%
Mainz
4.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.6% 9.6% 5.7%

Bayern Munich - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.11
(1.12)
10.69
(9.82)
19.79
(16.48)
4.2%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 38 - 84.4%). Mainz will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 73.8%95%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4.
    • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mainz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Diaz L. (Yellow Cards) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Kohr D. (Red Card) Mwene P. (Inactive) Nebel P. (Red Card) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Amiri N. (Inactive) Widmer S. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 66:23. (average 3.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 44:10. (average 4.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Mainz were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0
    14.12.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 2:1
    30.10.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 0:4
    09.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Mainz 8:1
    21.10.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 1:3
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Mainz
    11.12.2025 Lech Poznań - Mainz 1:1
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich15132055:114441
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3Bayer Leverkusen1592433:201329
    4RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    5Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    6Stuttgart1582525:22326
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1574430:30025
    8Union Berlin1563620:23-321
    9Freiburg1555525:26-120
    10Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    11FC Koln1544722:24-216
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1544716:25-916
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1533913:26-1312
    17Heidenheim15321013:34-2111
    18Mainz1515913:26-138

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga