Bayern Munich vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayern Munich - Mainz
Result
3:0
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.65
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
90% (521/577)82% (311/378)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.82
Total shots
148
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
90% (521/577)82% (311/378)
Long passes
54% (26/48)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
86% (162/188)67% (65/97)
Crosses
20% (2/10)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.54
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1317
Tackles
64% (7/11)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.821.79
Goals prevented
0.82-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Sane L. , Laimer K. (A),
  • 29', Caci A. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 36', Mwene P. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Olise M. , Laimer K. (A),
  • 45+1', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kim Min-Jae , Boey S. ,
  • 72', Gnabry S. , Coman K. ,
  • 74', Mwene P. , Weiper N. ,
  • 84', Pavlovic A. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 84', Sane L. , Muller T. ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Dier E. , Olise M. (A),
  • 86', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 86', Burkardt J. , Sieb A. ,
  • 87', Lee Jae-Sung , Nordin A. ,
  • 87', Nebel P. , Widmer S. ,
  • 88', Kane H. , Kusi Asare J. ,
  • 89', Amiri N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
77.6%
Draw
13.5%
Mainz
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.3% 13.8% 7.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Bayern Munich - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.23)
    7.11
    (6.97)
    11.08
    (12.2)
    3.9%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 34 - 85%). Mainz will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 73.9%96.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 3.
    • Recent matches Bayern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mainz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Leitsch M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Dal M. (Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayern won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 66:24 (average 3.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41:10 (average 4.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Mainz were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 2:1
    30.10.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 0:4
    09.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Mainz 8:1
    21.10.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 1:3
    22.04.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 3:1
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Mainz
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0
    05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga