St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
11/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4P
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.493.37
Ball possession
23%77%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
38
Big chances
08
Corner kicks
34
Passes
74% (201/273)92% (871/944)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.493.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.26
Total shots
620
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
17
Shots inside the box
416
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
01
Big chances
08
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
843
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
79
Passes
74% (201/273)92% (871/944)
Long passes
22% (10/46)65% (33/51)
Passes in final third
54% (22/41)83% (211/253)
Crosses
38% (3/8)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.353.76
Throw ins
1120
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (10/19)33% (4/12)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
306
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
3.260.27
Goals prevented
-1.740.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Musiala J. , Laimer K. (A),
  • 19', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 52', Fujita J. 🟨,
  • 52', Olise M. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Goretzka L. ,
  • 55', 0 - 3, Olise M. , Goretzka L. (A),
  • 58', Laimer K. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 59', Kimmich J. , Davies A. ,
  • 59', Olise M. , Diaz L. ,
  • 65', 0 - 4, Jackson N. , Musiala J. (A),
  • 66', Fujita J. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 67', Ito H. , Tah J. ,
  • 77', Ritzka L. , Oppie L. ,
  • 77', Hountondji A. , Kaars M. ,
  • 84', Musiala J. , Ndiaye B. ,
  • 88', 0 - 5, Guerreiro R. ,
  • 89', Pereira Lage M. , Hara T. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
11.2%
Draw
16.4%
Bayern Munich
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 16.9% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 16.4% 73.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for St. Pauli aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.64
    (8.2)
    5.8
    (5.63)
    1.32
    (1.33)
    4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 47%75.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - St. Pauli (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (6.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • St. Pauli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Red Card) Jones R.J. (Ankle Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Ankle Injury) Smith E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Karl L. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:1
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2
    09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    12Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    13FC Koln327111447:55-832
    14B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )