St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 29
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.49	3.37
Ball possession
23%	77%
Total shots
6	20
Shots on target
3	8
Big chances
0	8
Corner kicks
3	4
Passes
74% (201/273)	92% (871/944)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.49	3.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	3.26
Total shots
6	20
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
1	7
Shots inside the box
4	16
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	8
Corner kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
8	43
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
7	9
Passes
74% (201/273)	92% (871/944)
Long passes
22% (10/46)	65% (33/51)
Passes in final third
54% (22/41)	83% (211/253)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	3.76
Throw ins
11	20
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
53% (10/19)	33% (4/12)
Duels won
34	43
Clearances
30	6
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
3.26	0.27
Goals prevented
-1.74	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Musiala J. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
19', Laimer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', Fujita J. 🟨,
52', Olise M. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Goretzka L. ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Olise M. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),
58', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
59', Kimmich J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
59', Olise M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Jackson N. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
66', Fujita J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
67', Ito H. ↓, Tah J. ↑,
77', Ritzka L. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
77', Hountondji A. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
84', Musiala J. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Guerreiro R. ⚽,
89', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Hara T. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
11.2%

Draw
16.4%

Bayern Munich
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

16.9%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

16.4%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for St. Pauli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.64 ↑ (8.2)	5.8 ↑ (5.63)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	4.3% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 47% – 75.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - St. Pauli (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (6.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
St. Pauli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Red Card) Jones R.J. (Ankle Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Ankle Injury) Smith E. (Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Karl L. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayern Munich?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against St. Pauli?

Bayern Munich has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayern Munich were as follows:

29.11.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:1

29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2

09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

22.03.2026 St. Pauli - Freiburg 1:2 ✺

13.03.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

07.04.2026 Real Madrid - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

21.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Atalanta 4:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	32	26	5	1	116:35	81	83
2	Dortmund	31	20	7	4	65:31	34	67
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	5	8	63:42	21	62
4	Bayer Leverkusen	32	17	7	8	66:43	23	58
5	Stuttgart	32	17	7	8	66:46	20	58
6	Hoffenheim	32	17	7	8	64:48	16	58
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	32	11	10	11	57:60	-3	43
8	Freiburg	31	12	7	12	44:52	-8	43
9	Augsburg	32	11	7	14	42:56	-14	40
10	Mainz	31	8	10	13	39:49	-10	34
11	Hamburger SV	32	8	10	14	36:51	-15	34
12	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37:57	-20	33
13	FC Koln	32	7	11	14	47:55	-8	32
14	B. Monchengladbach	31	7	11	13	36:50	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	32	8	8	16	37:57	-20	32
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26:53	-27	26
17	Wolfsburg	31	6	7	18	41:66	-25	25
18	Heidenheim	32	5	8	19	38:69	-31	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )