Manchester United vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Manchester United - Bayern Munich
Result
0:1
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 4
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Manchester United
36.1%
Draw
23.3%
Bayern Munich
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 25.1% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manchester United - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.47)
    4.13
    (3.82)
    2.38
    (2.64)
    3.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 17 - 13.7%). Bayern will win (votes: 94 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.3%83.3%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent matches Man Utd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Hamstring Injury) Diallo A. (Knee Injury) Eriksen C. (Knee Injury) Lindelof V. (Knock) Malacia T. (Muscle Injury) Martinez Li. (Foot Injury) Mount M. (Injury) Sancho J. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury) Ulreich S. (Ankle Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Bayern Munich - Manchester United 4:3
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce