Manchester United vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Manchester United - Bayern Munich
Result
0:1
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 4
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Manchester United
36.1%
Draw
23.3%
Bayern Munich
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 25.1% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manchester United - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.47)
    4.13
    (3.82)
    2.38
    (2.64)
    3.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 17 - 13.7%). Bayern will win (votes: 94 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.3%83.3%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent matches Man Utd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Hamstring Injury) Diallo A. (Knee Injury) Eriksen C. (Knee Injury) Lindelof V. (Knock) Malacia T. (Muscle Injury) Martinez Li. (Foot Injury) Mount M. (Injury) Sancho J. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury) Ulreich S. (Ankle Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Bayern Munich - Manchester United 4:3
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3