Result
0:4
25/06/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.39 | 2.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (297/364) | 83% (378/455) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.39 | 2.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.15 | 3.28 |
Total shots |
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7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 3 |
Offsides |
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8 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Passes |
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82% (297/364) | 83% (378/455) |
Long passes |
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48% (20/42) | 38% (20/52) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (91/131) | 71% (53/75) |
Crosses |
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9% (2/22) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 2.73 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 19 |
Fouls |
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11 | 5 |
Tackles |
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60% (6/10) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 39 |
Clearances |
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24 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.28 | 1.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.72 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Guga (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽, Spajic U. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Serginho ↓, Dawhan ↑,
- 46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 46', Cheukoua M. ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
- 50', Fan Shuangjie 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 3, Fang Hao ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
- 59', Zhong Haoran ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
- 59', Guga ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
- 59', Cao Yongjing ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 69', 0 - 4, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
- 72', Liu Yun ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
- 73', Wu Shaocong ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 85', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
- 85', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
- 86', Spajic U. 🟨,
- 90+5', Muhmet N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Meizhou Hakka 17.9% | Draw 20.3% | Beijing Guoan 61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Meizhou Hakka aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.36 ↑ (5.35) |
4.65 ↑ (4.45) |
1.51 ↓ (1.55) |
6.4% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
- Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Meizhou Hakka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Jocic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
- We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Beijing Guoan?
Meizhou Hakka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Meizhou Hakka?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
20.09.2024
Meizhou Hakka
-
Beijing Guoan
1:3
11.05.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Meizhou Hakka
3:2
12.07.2023
Meizhou Hakka
-
Beijing Guoan
3:1
15.04.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Meizhou Hakka
1:1
Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 44 |
2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 26 |
8 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:34 | -9 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15:34 | -19 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League