Result
0:4
25/06/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/364) | 83% (378/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/364) | 83% (378/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (91/131) | 71% (53/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Guga (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽, Spajic U. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Serginho ↓, Dawhan ↑,
- 46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 46', Cheukoua M. ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
- 50', Fan Shuangjie 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 3, Fang Hao ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
- 59', Zhong Haoran ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
- 59', Guga ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
- 59', Cao Yongjing ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 69', 0 - 4, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
- 72', Liu Yun ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
- 73', Wu Shaocong ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 85', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
- 85', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
- 86', Spajic U. 🟨,
- 90+5', Muhmet N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Meizhou Hakka
17.9% | Draw
20.3% | Beijing Guoan
61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Meizhou Hakka aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.36 ↑
(5.35) |
4.65 ↑
(4.45) |
1.51 ↓
(1.55) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
- Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Meizhou Hakka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Jocic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
- We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Beijing Guoan?
Meizhou Hakka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Meizhou Hakka?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
20.09.2024
Meizhou Hakka
-
Beijing Guoan
1:3
11.05.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Meizhou Hakka
3:2
12.07.2023
Meizhou Hakka
-
Beijing Guoan
3:1
15.04.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Meizhou Hakka
1:1
Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
