Result
2:4
26/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 80% (279/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 4.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 80% (279/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (43/61) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (100/138) | 69% (51/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.28 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Dawhan (A),
- 32', Wellington Silva 🟨,
- 32', Filipe Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 51', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Saric E. (Pen),
- 59', 2 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Dawhan (A),
- 61', Yang Liyu ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
- 69', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
- 69', Jin Yonghao ↓, Feng Boyuan ↑,
- 70', Serginho ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
- 70', He Yupeng ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
- 70', Liu Jiashen ↓, Liu Junshuai ↑,
- 83', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
- 85', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 85', Guga ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Saric E. ⚽,
- 87', Saric E. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Wellington Silva ⚽, Saric E. (A),
- 90+4', Mijit Mewlan 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 4, Saric E. ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
66.4% | Draw
17.9% | Qingdao Hainiu
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.32) |
5.18 ↓
(5.47) |
6.01 ↓
(7.04) |
7.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Muhmet N.
(Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan
(Inactive)
Lamkel Ze D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu were as follows:
17.05.2025
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Beijing Guoan
1:1
19.10.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao Hainiu
6:0
21.05.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Beijing Guoan
1:1
22.07.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao Hainiu
2:0
25.04.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Beijing Guoan
3:1
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Dalian Yingbo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Liaoning Tieren | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 8 | Shandong Taishan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | -1 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | -1 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | -3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | -8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
