Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Workers' Stadium (Beijing).

Super League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.96
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
88% (494/560)	80% (279/347)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	4.28
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
12	13
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
32	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
88% (494/560)	80% (279/347)
Long passes
70% (43/61)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
72% (100/138)	69% (51/74)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.44
Throw-ins
18	12
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
83% (10/12)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
42	49
Clearances
26	18
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
4.28	2.23
Goals prevented
0.28	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Dawhan (A),
32', Wellington Silva 🟨,
32', Filipe Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Saric E. (Pen),
59', 2 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Dawhan (A),
61', Yang Liyu ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
69', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
69', Jin Yonghao ↓, Feng Boyuan ↑,
70', Serginho ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
70', He Yupeng ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
70', Liu Jiashen ↓, Liu Junshuai ↑,
83', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
85', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
85', Guga ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Saric E. ⚽,
87', Saric E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Wellington Silva ⚽, Saric E. (A),
90+4', Mijit Mewlan 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 4, Saric E. ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),

Chances of winning

Beijing Guoan
66.4%

Draw
17.9%

Qingdao Hainiu
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

16.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)	5.18 ↓ (5.47)	6.01 ↓ (7.04)	7.1% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Muhmet N. (Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan (Inactive) Lamkel Ze D. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao Hainiu?

Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu were as follows:

17.05.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan 1:1

19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu 6:0

21.05.2024 Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan 1:1

22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu 2:0

25.04.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan 3:1

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

23.10.2025 Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan 3:3 ✺

18.10.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan 2:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Macarthur FC - Beijing Guoan 3:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy 4:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu

17.10.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Port 3:4 ✺

04.10.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan 2:2 ✺

29.08.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:1 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	9	8	1	0	26:9	17	25
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	9	5	3	1	12:7	5	18
3	Dalian Yingbo	9	6	0	3	15:14	1	18
4	Yunnan Yukun	9	4	1	4	20:17	3	13
5	Shanghai Shenhua	9	6	2	1	21:11	10	10
6	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	9	3	0	6	12:17	-5	9
7	Shandong Taishan	9	4	2	3	12:14	-2	8
8	Qingdao West Coast	9	1	5	3	6:14	-8	8
9	Liaoning Tieren	9	2	1	6	7:15	-8	7
10	Zhejiang Professional	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	6
11	Shanghai Port	9	3	1	5	14:12	2	5
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	9	3	2	4	10:10	0	5
13	Beijing Guoan	9	2	3	4	12:14	-2	4
14	Qingdao Hainiu	9	3	2	4	11:13	-2	4
15	Wuhan Three Towns	9	2	2	5	12:18	-6	3
16	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	-1

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ League One