Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
22/11/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.621.49
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
3010
Shots on target
165
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (400/448)68% (180/265)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.621.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.361.26
Total shots
3010
Shots on target
165
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
227
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
5426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
89% (400/448)68% (180/265)
Long passes
70% (35/50)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
83% (109/132)63% (53/84)
Crosses
48% (11/23)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
2.570.89
Throw-ins
835
Fouls
1715
Tackles
83% (19/23)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5351
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
411
xGOT faced
1.264.36
Goals prevented
0.26-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Abreu F. , Bai Yang (A),
  • 22', Liao Junjian 🟨,
  • 45+4', Omarsson E. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Abreu F. , Wang Gang (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Yang Yihu , Rao Weihui ,
  • 46', Liu Yun , Wei Xiangxin ,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Zhang Yuning ,
  • 60', Lin Liangming , Wang Ziming ,
  • 60', Cao Yongjing , Fang Hao ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Omarsson E. , Rodrigo Henrique (A),
  • 65', Wang Jia'nan , Yang Chaosheng ,
  • 65', Zhong Haoran , Chen Xuhuang ,
  • 70', Zhang Yuning , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Abreu F. , Zhang Xizhe (A),
  • 75', Liao Junjian , Tian Ziyi ,
  • 78', Wang Gang , Yang Liyu ,
  • 78', Guga , Chi Zhongguo ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, Abreu F. , Zhang Xizhe (A),
  • 89', Fang Hao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
68%
Draw
16.2%
Meizhou Hakka
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 19.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 18.7% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
  • Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Guoan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.52)
    5.62
    (4.87)
    5.79
    (4.78)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka?
  • Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beijing Guoan will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3.
    • Beijing Guoan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Meizhou Hakka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Muhmet N. (Injury) Ngadeu M. (Yellow Cards) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Morris D. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 0:4
    20.09.2024 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 1:3
    11.05.2024 Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka 3:2
    12.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 3:1
    15.04.2023 Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka 1:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng541016:61013
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong53207:4311
    3Yunnan Yukun530213:859
    4Dalian Yingbo530210:1009
    5Liaoning Tieren52126:607
    6Shenzhen Xinpengcheng520310:12-26
    7Qingdao West Coast51134:12-84
    8Shandong Taishan53027:703
    9Zhejiang Professional52127:612
    10Shanghai Shenhua532011:741
    11Shanghai Port52037:611
    12Henan Songshan Longmen52125:501
    13Beijing Guoan51136:7-1-1
    14Wuhan Three Towns51138:11-3-1
    15Qingdao Hainiu51134:9-5-3
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger50233:8-5-8

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ League One