Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.23 |
Ball Possession |
---|
76% | 24% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
92% (721/781) | 74% (179/241) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.23 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.30 | 0.18 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
92% (721/781) | 74% (179/241) |
Long passes |
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71% (48/68) | 38% (18/48) |
Passes in final third |
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85% (172/202) | 52% (30/58) |
Crosses |
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29% (6/21) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.29 | 0.18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 11 |
Fouls |
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5 | 13 |
Tackles |
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70% (7/10) | 45% (5/11) |
Duels won |
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41 | 28 |
Clearances |
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13 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.18 | 2.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.82 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', Kartsev E. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lin Liangming ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 44', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Guga (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 46', 2 - 1, Dugalic R. ⚽,
- 60', Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Guga ⚽,
- 76', Serginho ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
- 76', Cao Yongjing ↓, Spajic U. ↑,
- 76', Wang Qiao 🟨,
- 77', Abduweli Behram ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
- 77', Nan Song ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 83', Lin Liangming ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
- 83', Wang Gang ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 88', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
- 88', Yang Yiming ↓, Shen H. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan 76.8% | Draw 15.3% | Shenzhen Peng City 7.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.22 ↓ (1.34) |
6.12 ↑ (5.13) |
11.91 ↑ (7.98) |
6.6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).
- Beijing Guoan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shenzhen Peng City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
Spajic U.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Jiang Zhipeng
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Beijing Guoan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Beijing Guoan?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
26.07.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Beijing Guoan
1:0
09.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Shenzhen Peng City
1:2
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
9 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
10 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League