Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City
Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.23
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
92% (721/781)74% (179/241)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.18
Total shots
215
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3110
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
135
Passes
92% (721/781)74% (179/241)
Long passes
71% (48/68)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
85% (172/202)52% (30/58)
Crosses
29% (6/21)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.18
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
513
Tackles
70% (7/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4128
Clearances
1322
Interceptions
718
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.182.30
Goals prevented
-0.82-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', Kartsev E. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Lin Liangming , Serginho (A),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Serginho , Guga (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zhang Yuan , Zhang Yuning ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Dugalic R. ,
  • 60', Ghojaehmet Shahzat , Sarkaria M. ,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Guga ,
  • 76', Serginho , Chi Zhongguo ,
  • 76', Cao Yongjing , Spajic U. ,
  • 76', Wang Qiao 🟨,
  • 77', Abduweli Behram , Zhang Wei ,
  • 77', Nan Song , Tiago Leonco ,
  • 83', Lin Liangming , Muhmet N. ,
  • 83', Wang Gang , Feng Boxuan ,
  • 88', Zhang Xiaobin , Jiang W. ,
  • 88', Yang Yiming , Shen H. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
76.8%
Draw
15.3%
Shenzhen Peng City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 18.3% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 17.5% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
  • Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.34)
    6.12
    (5.13)
    11.91
    (7.98)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Beijing Guoan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shenzhen Peng City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive) Spajic U. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Jiang Zhipeng (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
    26.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan 1:0
    09.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City 1:2
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Dalian Yingbo25961026:38-1233
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka25451630:57-2717

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