Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Workers' Stadium (Beijing).

Super League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.23
Ball Possession
76%	24%
Total shots
21	5
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
92% (721/781)	74% (179/241)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.30	0.18
Total shots
21	5
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
31	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
13	5
Passes
92% (721/781)	74% (179/241)
Long passes
71% (48/68)	38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
85% (172/202)	52% (30/58)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.18
Throw-ins
15	11
Fouls
5	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
41	28
Clearances
13	22
Interceptions
7	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.18	2.30
Goals prevented
-0.82	-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Kartsev E. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Lin Liangming ⚽, Serginho (A),
44', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Guga (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Dugalic R. ⚽,
60', Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Guga ⚽,
76', Serginho ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
76', Cao Yongjing ↓, Spajic U. ↑,
76', Wang Qiao 🟨,
77', Abduweli Behram ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
77', Nan Song ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
83', Lin Liangming ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
83', Wang Gang ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
88', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
88', Yang Yiming ↓, Shen H. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Beijing Guoan
76.8%

Draw
15.3%

Shenzhen Peng City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.5%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	6.12 ↑ (5.13)	11.91 ↑ (7.98)	6.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).
Beijing Guoan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Shenzhen Peng City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive) Spajic U. (Injury)
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Jiang Zhipeng (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shenzhen Peng City?

Beijing Guoan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Beijing Guoan?

Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:

26.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan 1:0

09.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City 1:2

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

05.05.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan 0:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan 6:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City

06.05.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City 0:0 ✺

01.05.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Dalian Young Boy 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City 3:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 3:1 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	21	14	5	2	51:27	24	47
2	Shanghai Shenhua	20	14	3	3	47:25	22	45
3	Chengdu Rongcheng	20	13	4	3	39:16	23	43
4	Beijing Guoan	20	12	6	2	44:25	19	42
5	Shandong Taishan	20	9	4	7	39:32	7	31
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	20	8	6	6	27:29	-2	30
7	Zhejiang Professional	20	8	5	7	42:34	8	29
8	Yunnan Yukun	21	8	5	8	33:38	-5	29
9	Dalian Yingbo	20	8	5	7	21:26	-5	29
10	Qingdao West Coast	20	6	9	5	26:28	-2	27
11	Wuhan Three Towns	21	5	6	10	27:38	-11	21
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	21	5	4	12	33:40	-7	19
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	20	5	2	13	25:46	-21	17
14	Meizhou Hakka	20	4	4	12	26:44	-18	16
15	Qingdao Hainiu	20	3	5	12	20:32	-12	14
16	Changchun Yatai	20	2	3	15	16:36	-20	9

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